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Polymarket wallet 0xb5fc3336705da21275868a57bcf3986c18115366 · on Polymarket since Aug 27, 2024 · also shown as Triangular-Oleo
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Pavel Durov released in August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Pavel Durov released before October?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 331d | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? | BuyYes18¢ | $1 |
| 376d | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BuyYes37¢ | $1 |
| 376d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes92¢ | $1 |
| 376d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 787d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyNo52¢ | $3 |
| 787d | Pavel Durov released before October? | BuyNo23¢ | $2 |
| 787d | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyNo64¢ | $5 |
| 787d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes49¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.