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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | — | −1 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $238 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d |  tetrase2 fills | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 98¢ | $8,964 | +$222 +2.5% | 7 |
| 2d |  realbengvir2 fills | Plague pandemic in 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 98¢ | $5,758 | −$85 −1.5% | — |
| 5d | tetrase | Plague pandemic in 2026? | SellNo98¢ | $16,925 | −$35 −0.2% | — |
| 11d |  AlexiosV | Plague pandemic in 2026? | SellNo98¢ | $2,934 | −$12 −0.4% | — |
| 11d |  themagicofcinema2 fills | Plague pandemic in 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 98¢ | $6,784 | −$70 −1.0% | — |
| 12d | forinnerpsandr1x112223 fills | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $28,491 | +$417 +1.5% | 6 |
| 13d | Abc0901 | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $3,339 | +$27 +0.8% | 6 |
| 14d | Mastermoney | Plague pandemic in 2026? | SellYes3¢ → 2¢ | $1,616 | +$459 +28% | — |
| 16d | hugedic | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes5¢ → 2¢ | $1,897 | −$1,221 −64% | 29 |
| 16d | Ferwhere2 fills | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes6¢ → 2¢ | $3,225 | −$2,182 −68% | 33 |
| 16d | Mastermoney2 fills | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes6¢ → 2¢ | $2,000 | −$1,373 −69% | 29 |
| 17d | h038596027355 | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 98¢ | $1,914 | +$50 +2.6% | 7 |
DOG-UndressedVersion14,495 sharestetrase43,704 shares
debased8,888 shares
occasionalAwareness8,253 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the disease or outbreak as a "pandemic". A Public Health Emergency of International Concern alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 2¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 2%.