| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 9,524 | 68¢ → 82¢ | $7,762 | +$1,321 +21% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 2,039 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $2,036 | +$39 +1.9% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 2,066 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $2,023 | +$23 +1.2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 2,028 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $2,010 | +$10 +0.5% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 2,018 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $2,004 | +$4 +0.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 2d | No | 2,075 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $1,947 | +$118 +6.4% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 2,299 | 87¢ → 81¢ | $1,871 | −$129 −6.4% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 2,148 | 93¢ → 86¢ | $1,854 | −$145 −7.3% |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 1,699 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $1,691 | +$199 +13% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,709 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $1,686 | +$207 +14% |
| Plague pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,677 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $1,648 | +$42 +2.6% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,700 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $1,647 | +$155 +10% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | No | 2,580 | 78¢ → 63¢ | $1,636 | −$364 −18% |
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 1,660 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $1,636 | +$25 +1.6% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,704 | 59¢ → 92¢ | $1,560 | +$560 +56% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,503 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $1,436 | +$73 +5.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 1,436 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $1,433 | +$9 +0.6% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 1,526 | 71¢ → 93¢ | $1,419 | +$336 +31% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 1,419 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $1,327 | +$102 +8.4% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | No | 1,301 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $1,293 | +$13 +1.0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 1,217 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $1,211 | +$6 +0.5% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,169 | 75¢ → 95¢ | $1,110 | +$236 +27% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 1,199 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $1,109 | +$49 +4.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | No | 1,721 | 71¢ → 62¢ | $1,058 | −$164 −13% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 983 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $983 | +$6 +0.6% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 897 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $875 | +$29 +3.5% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | No | 1,068 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $839 | +$8 +1.0% |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 803 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $802 | +$15 +1.9% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 986 | 86¢ → 77¢ | $755 | −$90 −11% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 745 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $729 | +$15 +2.1% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 935 | 52¢ → 76¢ | $711 | +$225 +46% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 750 | 64¢ → 94¢ | $701 | +$221 +46% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 825 | 60¢ → 85¢ | $701 | +$208 +42% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 715 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $700 | +$22 +3.3% |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?Ends in 69d | No | 729 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $696 | +$36 +5.4% |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 744 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $677 | −$6 −0.9% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 780 | 78¢ → 84¢ | $651 | +$42 +6.9% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 880 | 63¢ → 74¢ | $647 | +$90 +16% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | No | 1,742 | 27¢ → 37¢ | $636 | +$165 +35% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 2d | No | 921 | 55¢ → 67¢ | $617 | +$110 +22% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 592 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $588 | +$1 +0.2% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 99d | No | 630 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $576 | +$28 +5.1% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 1,049 | 63¢ → 54¢ | $564 | −$101 −15% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 800 | 58¢ → 66¢ | $524 | +$62 +13% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 554 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $521 | +$2 +0.3% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 69d | No | 600 | 76¢ → 84¢ | $504 | +$47 +10% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 503 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $487 | +$64 +15% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Ends in 69d | No | 513 | 60¢ → 93¢ | $475 | +$167 +54% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Ends in 2d | No | 481 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $473 | +$3 +0.7% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 474 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $461 | +$4 +0.8% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 15h | No | 1,635 | 40¢ → 28¢ | $458 | −$198 −30% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | Yes | 817 | 71¢ → 55¢ | $445 | −$138 −24% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 894 | 69¢ → 49¢ | $434 | −$184 −30% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 431 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $429 | +$32 +8.0% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 15h | Yes | 599 | 67¢ → 71¢ | $427 | +$26 +6.5% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 73¢ → 85¢ | $425 | +$59 +16% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 78¢ → 84¢ | $420 | +$30 +7.7% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 471 | 65¢ → 89¢ | $416 | +$113 +37% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 429 | 74¢ → 96¢ | $414 | +$96 +30% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,499 | 27¢ → 27¢ | $411 | +$12 +3.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | No | 499 | 89¢ → 82¢ | $407 | −$39 −8.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 1,900 | 77¢ → 20¢ | $387 | −$1,071 −73% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 711 | 34¢ → 53¢ | $377 | +$134 +55% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 15h | No | 435 | 69¢ → 87¢ | $376 | +$75 +25% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 414 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $370 | +$3 +0.9% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 404 | 77¢ → 91¢ | $368 | +$56 +18% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Ends ended | No | 373 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $367 | +$29 +8.5% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 380 | 37¢ → 96¢ | $366 | +$226 +163% |
| Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends ended | No | 373 | 54¢ → 93¢ | $347 | +$147 +73% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 544 | 86¢ → 61¢ | $333 | −$134 −29% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 360 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $329 | +$27 +9.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 350 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $322 | +$6 +1.7% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 281d | No | 348 | 55¢ → 92¢ | $320 | +$128 +67% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 536 | 73¢ → 59¢ | $316 | −$74 −19% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 360 | 54¢ → 87¢ | $313 | +$117 +60% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 305 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $302 | +$24 +8.6% |
| Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?Ends in 128d | No | 316 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $301 | +$3 +1.0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 350 | 72¢ → 86¢ | $299 | +$48 +19% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | No | 549 | 45¢ → 53¢ | $291 | +$44 +18% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 354 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $288 | −$1 −0.5% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,417 | 24¢ → 19¢ | $262 | −$76 −22% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 253 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $249 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 250 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $243 | +$4 +1.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 281 | 61¢ → 87¢ | $243 | +$71 +41% |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 250 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $238 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 252 | 81¢ → 95¢ | $238 | +$33 +16% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 650 | 35¢ → 37¢ | $237 | +$13 +5.7% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?Ends in 27d | No | 240 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $232 | +$16 +7.4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 240 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $227 | +$7 +3.1% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 237 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $217 | +$19 +9.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 227 | 76¢ → 94¢ | $212 | +$40 +23% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 211 | 39¢ → >99¢ | $211 | +$128 +156% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,812 | 42¢ → 12¢ | $208 | −$558 −73% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 43¢ → 68¢ | $203 | +$73 +56% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 258 | 61¢ → 79¢ | $202 | +$45 +28% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 208 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $201 | +$2 +0.8% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $199 | +$9 +4.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 500 | 36¢ → 39¢ | $192 | +$14 +7.8% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $191 | +$4 +2.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 308 | 66¢ → 62¢ | $189 | −$14 −6.9% |
