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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chega >18% of votes? | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Socialist Party wins most votes? | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Socialist Party >30% of votes? | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Dem. Alliance >30% of votes? | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 946d | pkz | Socialist Party wins most votes? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,349 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 946d | professorx | Socialist Party wins most votes? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,494 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 |
| 946d | professorx | Chega >18% of votes? | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,984 | +$16 +0.1% | 10 |
| 946d | professorx | Socialist Party >30% of votes? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,192 | +$8 +0.2% | 10 |
| 946d | pkz | Socialist Party wins most votes? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$34 +3.2% | 10 |
| 956d | pkz | Dem. Alliance >30% of votes? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$179 +16% | 10 |
| 958d | Flat | Socialist Party wins most votes? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,530 | +$313 +12% | 14 |
| 959d |  ImJustKen | Chega >18% of votes? | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $1,724 | −$1,724 −100% | 18 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Chega >18% of votes? means the market gives it about 100%.