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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 100% | +71 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Joe Biden | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nikki Haley | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gavin Newsom | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chris Christie | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hillary Clinton | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bernie Sanders | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AOC | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elizabeth Warren | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kanye West | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other Democrat Politician | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other Republican Politician | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michelle Obama | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ron DeSantis | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kamala Harris | 0% | −72 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 711d | Imperfect-Beetle | Kamala Harris | SellNo>99¢ | $499,911 | −$500 −0.1% | — |
| 711d | libertylibra | Kamala Harris | SellNo>99¢ | $9,088 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 711d |  DEGENKHAN4 fills | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $26,992 | −$55 −0.2% | — |
| 711d | buratinas2 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,540 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 711d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Kamala Harris | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,920 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 |
| 711d |  LBZcapital5 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,230 | +$22 +0.1% | 10 |
| 711d | JJLaw | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $1,161 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 711d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $683,409 | +$684 +0.1% | 10 |
| 711d | VvVv | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 711d |  BB2020 | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,054 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 711d |  KatieSprygada1 | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,360 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 711d |  50Whence3 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $54,390 | +$54 +0.1% | 10 |
| 711d |  GoldFinch2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,717 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 |
| 711d |  SkyeSrivatsa | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,639 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 |
| 711d |  MarcosRandles | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,940 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 711d |  LlamaEnjoyer2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,842 | +$9 +0.1% | 10 |
| 711d | dkpoly | Kamala Harris | SellNo>99¢ | $1,110 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 711d |  REEEEEEEEEE | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $1,595 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 712d | Jsullivan | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $44,139 | −$133 −0.3% | — |
| 712d | IanTTT | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $5,866 | −$12 −0.2% | — |
| 712d | Gethigher | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $3,085 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 712d | AcidBurn95 | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $20,007 | −$60 −0.3% | — |
| 712d |  Birck21 fills | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $24,215 | −$73 −0.3% | — |
| 712d | Birck21 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,240 | +$49 +0.2% | 10 |
| 712d | Soony23 | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $17,509 | −$53 −0.3% | — |
| 712d | Folletin | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $1,097 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 712d | tehfmin | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $1,496 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 712d | Giant-Loggia | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $1,337 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 712d | Violet | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,052 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 712d | Ericssionista | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $16,471 | −$66 −0.4% | — |
| 712d |  zerion1954 | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $1,696 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 712d | zerion1954 | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,698 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 712d |  solana3 fills | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $18,231 | −$55 −0.3% | — |
| 712d | Warrior | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,052 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 712d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Kamala Harris | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,980 | +$20 +0.2% | 10 |
| 712d | ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,078 | +$51 +0.3% | 10 |
| 712d | zerosmart | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $81,737 | −$328 −0.4% | — |
| 712d | xuzhizi55248 | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $7,896 | −$24 −0.3% | — |
| 712d | seoeun | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,213 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 712d | inqcell | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,531 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 712d |  paleskin | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,795 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 712d |  pururu | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 712d | pururu | Kamala Harris | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,805 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 712d | linyuanllong54885 | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $7,580 | −$23 −0.3% | — |
| 712d |  dappbaby2 fills | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $3,603 | −$14 −0.4% | — |
| 712d |  0xPolymath5 fills | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $191,760 | −$456 −0.2% | — |
| 712d |  AWice2 fills | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $25,073 | −$88 −0.4% | — |
| 712d |  lanlingwang | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $1,929 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 712d | lanlingwang | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,020 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 712d | Wavy-ChimeNew account | Kamala Harris | SellNo>99¢ | $1,994 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 712d | Airongrid | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $1,272 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 712d | MustardMurad | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,325 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 |
| 712d | youravgquant2 fills | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $3,400 | −$12 −0.4% | — |
| 712d | Gimmaer | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$10 +0.2% | 10 |
| 712d | operationcastle2 fills | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $21,837 | −$46 −0.2% | — |
| 712d | Nabeel05052 fills | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $18,146 | −$38 −0.2% | — |
| 712d | Monster24 | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,598 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 713d | Caddo | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $1,585 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 713d | NxN | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $1,768 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 713d | Nabeel05052 fills | Kamala Harris | SellNo>99¢ | $9,564 | −$19 −0.2% | — |
stepharo485 sharesThis is a market on predicting the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 presidential election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Donald Trump means the market gives it about 100%.