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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716d | Gamble.and.bankurpt | Trump wins a solid blue state? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,731 | −$17 −1.0% | — |
| 716d | YasterYang | Trump wins a solid blue state? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,217 | −$36 −3.0% | — |
| 716d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA6 fills | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $22,732 | +$3,270 +14% | 4 |
| 716d | WuTangFam2 fills | Trump wins a solid blue state? | SellYes10¢ → 0¢ | $7,039 | +$7,039 +100% | — |
| 716d | yschon | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,063 | −$1,063 −100% | 4 |
| 716d |  MR.SCAM4 fills | Trump wins a solid blue state? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $15,844 | −$2,114 −13% | — |
| 716d | Trump2032-3656 fills | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $44,632 | +$7,119 +16% | 4 |
| 716d | ceiqm | Trump wins a solid blue state? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | −$122 −11% | — |
| 716d |  UncleSmurf | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,760 | +$240 +14% | 4 |
| 716d | soloxbt | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyYes23¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 8 |
| 716d | aaaaaaaa12345676876435422 fills | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyYes23¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 12 |
| 716d | Neoss | Trump wins a solid blue state? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,396 | −$246 −18% | — |
| 716d | AntiMAGA | Trump wins a solid blue state? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $45,885 | −$9,398 −20% | — |
| 716d | phast2 | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,254 | −$1,254 −100% | 6 |
| 716d | Neoss | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,360 | +$259 +19% | 4 |
| 717d | Frogy | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$597 +15% | 4 |
| 717d |  itsgg7 fills | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $44,766 | +$8,258 +18% | 4 |
| 717d | karisikvarmi | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$217 +19% | 8 |
| 717d | Nutty-SubNew account | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$191 +19% | 13 |
| 718d | FeathersTogether4 fills | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $69,554 | +$11,802 +17% | 5 |
| 718d | antonyzhoudl3 fills | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $6,026 | −$6,026 −100% | 17 |
| 718d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente5 fills | Trump wins a solid blue state? | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $18,096 | −$4,098 −23% | — |
| 718d | Lone-Tower | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $7,486 | −$7,486 −100% | 22 |
| 718d | AntiMAGA3 fills | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $65,226 | +$11,007 +17% | 4 |
| 718d | long5518 | Trump wins a solid blue state? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,660 | −$340 −20% | — |
| 718d | 21kjsij2kl23 | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 19 |
| 718d | Gamble.and.bankurpt | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$248 +17% | 6 |
| 719d | mrbriggs | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $23,576 | +$3,646 +15% | 6 |
| 719d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Trump wins a solid blue state? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $6,388 | −$1,217 −19% | — |
| 719d | SitsToPee | Trump wins a solid blue state? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,210 | −$790 −19% | — |
| 719d | nomadFrog | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $5,100 | −$5,100 −100% | 20 |
| 720d | jellydonut62 | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,720 | +$280 +16% | 6 |
| 720d | comon1192 fills | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $16,257 | −$16,257 −100% | 21 |
| 720d | long55182 fills | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$523 +15% | 5 |
| 721d | presbet | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 9 |
| 722d | aaabbb2 fills | Trump wins a solid blue state? | SellYes17¢ → 0¢ | $3,946 | +$3,946 +100% | — |
| 722d | AnonymousUsername2 fills | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $16,961 | −$16,961 −100% | 24 |
| 722d | captainrabbit | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $1,700 | −$1,700 −100% | 9 |
| 722d | MrBlue | Trump wins a solid blue state? | SellYes16¢ → 0¢ | $3,369 | +$3,369 +100% | — |
| 724d |  MLBksRETARD | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $18,591 | +$4,361 +23% | 4 |
| 724d | WuTangFam9 fills | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $23,890 | −$23,890 −100% | 22 |
| 726d | cqs2 fills | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $13,267 | +$3,478 +26% | 4 |
| 726d | K1ngN0rth2 fills | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $8,667 | +$2,304 +27% | 4 |
| 728d | aaabbb | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $4,924 | −$4,924 −100% | 13 |
| 728d | Rectangular-Smoking | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$480 +25% | 4 |
| 728d | CryingSnake | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $6,715 | +$1,785 +27% | 4 |
| 728d | MR.SCAM3 fills | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $12,915 | +$3,351 +26% | 4 |
| 729d | BM-FRG | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 5 |
| 729d |  Apsalar | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | +$344 +28% | 4 |
| 731d | ChrisV | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$2,346 +23% | 4 |
| 731d | sabato11 | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $91,173 | +$21,386 +23% | 4 |
| 733d | MrBlue | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 12 |
| 734d |  scottilicious2 fills | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $53,979 | +$8,787 +16% | 4 |
| 734d | Nobody23041 | Trump wins a solid blue state? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | −$177 −18% | — |
| 735d |  TheGuru-7912 fills | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $8,215 | −$8,215 −100% | 18 |
| 739d | Nobody23041 | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,651 | +$432 +16% | 4 |
| 741d | Soupy-FlowNew account | Trump wins a solid blue state? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $14,123 | −$2,257 −16% | — |
| 741d |  ImJustKen2 fills | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyYes13¢ → 0¢ | $8,896 | −$8,896 −100% | 19 |
| 750d | itsgg | Trump wins a solid blue state? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $15,872 | −$2,584 −16% | — |
| 756d |  BobEvans | Trump wins a solid blue state? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | +$178 +15% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican candidate for president wins the popular vote in any solid blue state(s) in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Solid blue states include: California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, Virginia, and Washington. Solid blue states are defined using the Cook Political Report's ratings as of this market's inception. Further changes to cook political report's rankings will not be considered for this market. Individual congressional district electors will not count towards the resolution of this market; only statewide popular vote results will be considered. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. This market may resolve immediately if at least one of the listed states has been called for the Republican candidate for President by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, or if all listed states have been called by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race in the listed states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.