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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5.00-5.25 | 100% | +82 pts | +74 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Below $4.75 | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $4.75-5.00 | 0% | −9 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $5.25-5.50 | 0% | −30 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $5.50-5.75 | 0% | −18 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $5.75-6.00 | 0% | −12 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $6.00-6.25 | 0% | −6 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Above $6.25 | 0% | −3 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 528d | $4.75-5.00 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,356 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 528d | $5.25-5.50 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,172 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 528d | $4.75-5.00 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,528 | −$14 −0.9% | — | |
| 528d | $5.00-5.25 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,010 | +$73 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 528d | BillyBoy94 | Above $6.25 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,128 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 528d | Dar1us2 fills | $6.00-6.25 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,860 | +$335 +3.4% | 5 |
| 528d | Dar1us2 fills | Above $6.25 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,831 | +$164 +2.1% | 4 |
| 528d | DumbMoney1 | Above $6.25 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $24,578 | +$636 +2.6% | 5 |
| 529d | $4.75-5.00 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,610 | +$121 +7.5% | 6 | |
| 529d | $5.75-6.00 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,596 | +$404 +11% | 7 | |
| 529d | $5.50-5.75 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,680 | +$320 +19% | 8 | |
| 529d | Drowerz2 fills | $5.25-5.50 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $4,170 | +$1,660 +40% | 9 |
| 531d | aviato | Below $4.75 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,907 | +$93 +3.2% | 5 |
| 532d | $5.25-5.50 | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,312 | +$617 +47% | 6 | |
| 532d | Below $4.75 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,036 | +$316 +5.2% | 4 | |
| 532d | Drowerz | $5.00-5.25 | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 5 |
| 534d | $5.50-5.75 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,680 | +$320 +19% | 5 | |
| 534d | $5.00-5.25 | BuyYes30¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$3,500 +233% | 8 | |
| 538d | Xidrel | $5.25-5.50 | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $24,558 | −$11,557 −47% | — |
| 538d | Wessira | $5.00-5.25 | SellNo71¢ → 0¢ | $38,540 | +$38,540 +100% | — |
| 538d | Xidrel | $5.25-5.50 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $24,920 | +$11,196 +45% | 4 |
| 538d | Wessira | $5.00-5.25 | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $39,084 | −$39,084 −100% | 4 |
| 538d | nonkenny902 fills | Below $4.75 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,622 | +$178 +6.8% | 4 |
| 539d | Monster242 fills | $5.75-6.00 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,358 | +$149 +3.4% | 4 |
| 539d | Monster24 | $6.00-6.25 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$26 +2.2% | 4 |
| 546d | Dar1us | $5.50-5.75 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$215 +20% | 4 |
| 546d | $4.75-5.00 | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | −$273 −25% | — | |
| 548d | $4.75-5.00 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,263 | +$95 +7.5% | 4 | |
| 553d | Monster24 | $4.75-5.00 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,544 | +$75 +4.8% | 4 |
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the April data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111). The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 13, 2025. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $5.00-5.25 means the market gives it about 100%.