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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 464d | Record low border encounters in June? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,020 | +$17 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 471d | Record low border encounters in June? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,660 | +$53 +1.4% | 4 | |
| 477d | Record low border encounters in June? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$42 +4.1% | 4 |
In February 2025 (FYTD) there were 28,654 border encounters, the lowest on record (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters) This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are less than 28,654 for June 2025 (FYTD). Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first report of data for June 2025, regardless of future revisions. If no data is posted for June 2025 (FYTD) by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is United States Customs and Border Protection (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.