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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $7.5b-10b | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| <$2.5b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $2.5b-5b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $5b-7.5b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| >$15b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $12.5b-15b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| No Reddit IPO in 2024 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $10b-12.5b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 946d | professorx | <$2.5b | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,052 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 946d |  Squee | $5b-7.5b | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,520 | +$480 +14% | 20 |
| 946d | Squee3 fills | $2.5b-5b | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,343 | +$208 +2.8% | 20 |
| 946d | professorx | No Reddit IPO in 2024 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,345 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 947d | pkz | $5b-7.5b | SellYes53¢ → 0¢ | $1,193 | +$1,193 +100% | — |
| 947d | pkz | $5b-7.5b | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,470 | −$1,470 −100% | 20 |
| 949d |  ImJustKen4 fills | $10b-12.5b | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $16,023 | +$3,144 +20% | 20 |
| 949d | ImJustKen2 fills | $5b-7.5b | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $2,517 | −$2,517 −100% | 26 |
| 949d | ImJustKen | $7.5b-10b | SellYes34¢ → 100¢ | $1,675 | −$3,213 −192% | — |
| 949d |  coby | $5b-7.5b | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $1,597 | −$1,597 −100% | 20 |
| 949d | Squee | $7.5b-10b | BuyYes36¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$1,955 +178% | 20 |
| 950d | undertaker2 fills | $7.5b-10b | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $2,580 | −$2,580 −100% | 20 |
| 950d | undertaker3 fills | No Reddit IPO in 2024 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,325 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 950d | undertaker3 fills | <$2.5b | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,325 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 950d | undertaker3 fills | $12.5b-15b | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,165 | +$166 +3.2% | 20 |
| 950d | undertaker2 fills | $5b-7.5b | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $2,120 | +$1,880 +89% | 20 |
| 950d | undertaker3 fills | >$15b | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,309 | +$21 +0.4% | 20 |
| 950d | undertaker3 fills | $10b-12.5b | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,798 | +$533 +11% | 20 |
| 950d | undertaker | $2.5b-5b | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,283 | +$47 +3.7% | 20 |
| 950d |  z3ro-510 | $5b-7.5b | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,519 | −$1,519 −100% | 20 |
| 950d | ImJustKen3 fills | $2.5b-5b | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,093 | +$224 +5.5% | 20 |
| 950d | ImJustKen | $7.5b-10b | BuyYes35¢ → 100¢ | $1,433 | +$2,677 +187% | 21 |
| 950d | Squee | $10b-12.5b | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$132 +12% | 20 |
| 994d |  crystalfalls | No Reddit IPO in 2024 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$181 +16% | 20 |
| 999d | ImJustKen | $12.5b-15b | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $6,216 | +$1,409 +23% | 20 |
| 999d | ImJustKen | >$15b | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,687 | +$517 +31% | 20 |
| 1006d | ImJustKen | <$2.5b | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$22 +2.0% | 20 |
| 1006d | ImJustKen2 fills | $5b-7.5b | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,943 | +$363 +12% | 20 |
| 1007d | ImJustKen | $7.5b-10b | BuyNo83¢ → 0¢ | $1,111 | −$1,111 −100% | 20 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $7.5b-10b means the market gives it about 100%.