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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 941d | Observer | RFK Jr. picks Nicole Shanahan as running mate? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,675 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 941d | RFK Jr. picks Nicole Shanahan as running mate? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,277 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 941d | RFK Jr. picks Nicole Shanahan as running mate? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $8,232 | +$1,048 +13% | 20 | |
| 941d | professorx | RFK Jr. picks Nicole Shanahan as running mate? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,769 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 941d | RFK Jr. picks Nicole Shanahan as running mate? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $13,630 | +$249 +1.8% | 20 | |
| 941d | Observer | RFK Jr. picks Nicole Shanahan as running mate? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,492 | +$226 +9.1% | 20 |
| 942d | stabby | RFK Jr. picks Nicole Shanahan as running mate? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$119 +11% | 20 |
| 943d | Lalaf2 fills | RFK Jr. picks Nicole Shanahan as running mate? | BuyNo26¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 24 |
| 944d | GummiMummi | RFK Jr. picks Nicole Shanahan as running mate? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $7,400 | +$2,600 +35% | 20 |
| 947d | Carsonben1 | RFK Jr. picks Nicole Shanahan as running mate? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,387 | +$155 +11% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nicole Shanahan is announced as the 2024 Vice Presidential Candidate for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. by November 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve immediately based on the first official announcement of RFK Jr.'s running mate, regardless of any changes or retractions that may occur later. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr., or his campaign. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.