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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Larry Ellison | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bernard Arnault | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jeff Bezos | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jensen Huang | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Warren Buffett | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 303d | jbr | Elon Musk | SellYes>99¢ | $1,992 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 303d |  BobInvestments | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 |
| 304d | Offbeat-Weekend | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,167 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 304d | allen114 | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,643 | +$30 +0.2% | 4 |
| 306d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Elon Musk | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,026 | −$18 −0.6% | — |
| 306d |  Noooooooop5 fills | Elon Musk | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,638 | +$95 +0.6% | 4 |
| 306d | cigarettes3 fills | Warren Buffett | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,255 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 306d |  flow-trader-at-optiver | Jensen Huang | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,435 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 306d | cigarettes3 fills | Mark Zuckerberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,331 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 306d | cigarettes2 fills | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,175 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 306d | cigarettes3 fills | Jensen Huang | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,331 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 306d | flow-trader-at-optiver | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,435 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 306d | flow-trader-at-optiver | Warren Buffett | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,435 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 306d | cigarettes3 fills | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,331 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 306d | flow-trader-at-optiver | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,435 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 310d |  tmdi | Larry Ellison | SellNo>99¢ | $1,138 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 311d | tmdi | Larry Ellison | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,175 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 312d | wokerjoesleeper | Jensen Huang | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,256 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 312d | cigarettes2 fills | Larry Ellison | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,913 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 312d | wokerjoesleeper | Warren Buffett | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,256 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 312d | wokerjoesleeper | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,256 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 312d | wokerjoesleeper | Larry Ellison | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,256 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 312d | wokerjoesleeper | Mark Zuckerberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,256 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 313d | Yomba | Elon Musk | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,871 | −$13 −0.7% | — |
| 317d | allen111 | Elon Musk | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,738 | +$53 +1.1% | 4 |
| 318d | pevjsowqak9xq | Elon Musk | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,519 | +$31 +1.2% | 4 |
| 318d | qeklc7qaxqfxu | Elon Musk | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,510 | +$30 +1.2% | 4 |
| 318d | vqell7vzn4oxs | Elon Musk | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,503 | +$33 +1.3% | 4 |
| 318d | hkwpeqixvx4pk | Elon Musk | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,496 | +$33 +1.3% | 4 |
| 318d | rucsty92mweus | Elon Musk | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,506 | +$33 +1.3% | 4 |
| 321d |  Ross1212 | Elon Musk | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,030 | −$32 −1.6% | — |
| 326d |  DEGENKHAN | Larry Ellison | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,337 | +$13 +0.9% | 4 |
| 331d | paghool | Elon Musk | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,454 | +$77 +5.3% | 4 |
| 333d | Ross1212 | Elon Musk | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$56 +5.3% | 4 |
| 334d | tgglZ | Larry Ellison | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,964 | −$183 −3.7% | — |
| 340d | haruchun | Mark Zuckerberg | SellNo>99¢ | $1,012 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 340d | haruchun | Mark Zuckerberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,013 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 341d | pbmotg1h467y | Warren Buffett | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,507 | +$28 +0.8% | 4 |
| 341d | benudggwtav9 | Warren Buffett | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,507 | +$28 +0.8% | 4 |
| 341d | bpdovy29tk1m6 | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,502 | +$15 +0.6% | 4 |
| 341d | vdpkrbjm6c4dh | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,501 | +$15 +0.6% | 4 |
| 341d | bqvpc0f6sf53 | Warren Buffett | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,512 | +$28 +0.8% | 4 |
| 341d | ftludyn4nkx3 | Warren Buffett | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,502 | +$28 +0.8% | 4 |
| 341d | gsvjuqa9c1g5b | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,501 | +$15 +0.6% | 4 |
| 341d | vfqwq69w27vzh | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,504 | +$15 +0.6% | 4 |
| 341d | sghrhhqfxtkk | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,499 | +$21 +0.6% | 4 |
| 341d | qqrmpblm1upd | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,524 | +$21 +0.6% | 4 |
| 341d | jbr | Elon Musk | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,827 | +$96 +5.3% | 4 |
| 341d | pjxhvk5ooxwu | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,503 | +$25 +0.7% | 4 |
| 341d | dvabtui61x9d | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,512 | +$25 +0.7% | 4 |
| 341d | pqbiky4jfo86 | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,501 | +$14 +0.4% | 4 |
| 341d | ahidefb6xu4d | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,501 | +$14 +0.4% | 4 |
| 341d | lelqjtep42og | Warren Buffett | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,505 | +$25 +0.7% | 4 |
| 341d | forvbcvvomkw | Warren Buffett | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,510 | +$25 +0.7% | 4 |
| 341d | jxtrk32if9mr | Warren Buffett | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,502 | +$28 +0.8% | 4 |
| 341d | hvanlksaeiw0 | Warren Buffett | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,507 | +$28 +0.8% | 4 |
| 341d | rsbvh1peq3mp2 | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,514 | +$10 +0.4% | 4 |
| 341d | gsqtmq9t4gu65 | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,516 | +$10 +0.4% | 4 |
| 341d | coutmhnvrbuah | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,515 | +$15 +0.6% | 4 |
| 341d | iuioiwb0qi8wu | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,505 | +$15 +0.6% | 4 |
Ksaich-Pack1600 sharesThis market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2025, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Elon Musk means the market gives it about 100%.