Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk | 97% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 97¢ · 98¢ (1¢) | $891 | in 70d |
| Bernard Arnault | 1% | 0 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $65 | in 70d |
| Warren Buffett | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $20.1 | in 70d |
| Jeff Bezos | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 70d |
| Larry Ellison | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 70d |
| Mark Zuckerberg | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 70d |
| Jensen Huang | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 70d |
| Steve Ballmer | <1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $353 | in 70d |
| Sergey Brin | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $60 | in 70d |
| Larry Page | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 70d |
| Michael Dell | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66d | Stimulating-Power | Elon Musk | BuyYes97¢ | $1,500 | +$7 +0.5% | 6 |
| 133d | xiaohuli12 | Elon Musk | SellYes93¢ → 97¢ | $1,074 | −$51 −4.7% | — |
| 153d | Avotoast | Elon Musk | BuyYes91¢ → 97¢ | $1,356 | +$96 +7.1% | 10 |
| 188d |  sebelmaestro | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo99¢ | $1,011 | −$2 −0.2% | 4 |
| 191d | xiaohuli12 | Elon Musk | BuyYes91¢ → 97¢ | $2,000 | +$142 +7.1% | 10 |
| 192d | drftewftwrfeww | Steve Ballmer | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,012 | +$6 +0.6% | 5 |
| 206d | Growling-Jack | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo99¢ | $5,024 | −$5 −0.1% | 5 |
| 206d | Few-Circuit | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo99¢ | $5,047 | −$5 −0.1% | 5 |
| 206d | Astonishing-Winery | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo99¢ | $5,023 | −$5 −0.1% | 5 |
| 206d | Studious-Play | Warren Buffett | SellNo99¢ | $5,013 | −$23 −0.5% | — |
| 206d | Sudden-Network | Warren Buffett | BuyNo99¢ | $4,997 | +$18 +0.4% | 5 |
| 206d | Studious-Play | Warren Buffett | BuyNo99¢ | $5,018 | +$18 +0.4% | 5 |
| 206d | Careless-Dill | Warren Buffett | BuyNo99¢ | $5,017 | +$18 +0.4% | 5 |
| 210d | inherit-skin | Jensen Huang | BuyNo97¢ → >99¢ | $1,076 | +$33 +3.0% | 4 |
| 210d | paradefa99 | Jensen Huang | SellNo96¢ → >99¢ | $1,100 | −$42 −3.8% | — |
| 210d | market-wait | Jensen Huang | BuyNo97¢ → >99¢ | $1,246 | +$35 +2.8% | 4 |
| 213d | Loud-Isogloss | Jeff Bezos | SellNo98¢ → >99¢ | $1,457 | −$24 −1.6% | — |
| 213d | Joyful-Molasses | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $4,996 | +$25 +0.5% | 4 |
| 213d | Spirited-Prairie | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,035 | +$25 +0.5% | 4 |
| 213d | Loud-Isogloss | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,047 | +$25 +0.5% | 4 |
| 214d | Terrific-Cello | Steve Ballmer | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $4,988 | +$33 +0.7% | 5 |
| 214d | Clear-Cut-Decade | Steve Ballmer | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,037 | +$33 +0.7% | 5 |
| 214d | Crafty-Ignorance | Steve Ballmer | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,038 | +$33 +0.7% | 5 |
| 214d | Illustrious-Commission | Mark Zuckerberg | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,048 | +$18 +0.4% | 4 |
| 214d | Artistic-Increase | Mark Zuckerberg | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,005 | +$18 +0.4% | 4 |
| 214d | Ragged-Sub | Mark Zuckerberg | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,054 | +$18 +0.4% | 4 |
| 214d | Clean-Mantle | Steve Ballmer | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $4,996 | +$33 +0.7% | 5 |
| 214d | Starry-Usual | Steve Ballmer | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,039 | +$33 +0.7% | 5 |
| 214d | Petty-Catch | Steve Ballmer | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,028 | +$33 +0.7% | 5 |
| 215d | Fussy-Charm | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo99¢ | $5,043 | $0 0.0% | 5 |
| 215d | Fat-Spider | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo99¢ | $5,003 | $0 0.0% | 5 |
| 215d | Worthy-Fireman | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo99¢ | $5,032 | $0 0.0% | 5 |
| 215d | Unhappy-Trapdoor | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo99¢ | $5,012 | $0 0.0% | 5 |
| 215d | Illustrious-Cameo | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo99¢ | $5,022 | $0 0.0% | 5 |
| 215d | Bitter-Obligation | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo99¢ | $5,044 | $0 0.0% | 5 |
| 215d | Knowledgeable-Online | Steve Ballmer | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,042 | +$33 +0.7% | 5 |
| 215d | 0xed86…5842 | Steve Ballmer | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $4,993 | +$33 +0.7% | 5 |
| 215d | Extra-Large-Beet | Steve Ballmer | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,028 | +$33 +0.7% | 5 |
| 215d | Indelible-Brand | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo100¢ | $5,064 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 215d | This-Reservoir | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo100¢ | $5,009 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 215d | Flamboyant-Writing | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo100¢ | $5,052 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 215d | Complete-Pupa | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo99¢ | $5,020 | $0 0.0% | 5 |
| 215d | Zesty-Disarmament-Semicolon | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo99¢ | $5,035 | $0 0.0% | 5 |
| 215d | Kindly-Gateway | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo99¢ | $5,023 | $0 0.0% | 5 |
| 216d | Disguised-Argument | Jeff Bezos | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,034 | −$15 −0.3% | — |
| 216d | Finished-Frock | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,033 | +$15 +0.3% | 4 |
| 216d | Uniform-Canvas | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,043 | +$15 +0.3% | 4 |
| 216d | Disguised-Argument | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,034 | +$15 +0.3% | 4 |
| 216d | Pushy-Doubter | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo100¢ | $5,044 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 216d | Poor-Drummer | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo100¢ | $5,048 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 217d | Cooperative-Shoes | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo99¢ | $5,030 | −$5 −0.1% | 5 |
| 217d | Recent-Resemblance-Consignment | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo99¢ | $5,026 | −$5 −0.1% | 5 |
| 217d | Creative-Mini | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo99¢ | $5,038 | −$5 −0.1% | 5 |
| 217d | 0x2182…e790 | Mark Zuckerberg | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,014 | −$28 −0.6% | — |
| 217d | 0xbab6…1b82 | Mark Zuckerberg | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,037 | +$28 +0.6% | 4 |
| 217d | 0x8c5f…6318 | Mark Zuckerberg | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,027 | +$28 +0.6% | 4 |
| 217d | 0x2182…e790 | Mark Zuckerberg | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,014 | +$28 +0.6% | 4 |
| 218d | Tight-Banker | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,039 | +$25 +0.5% | 4 |
| 218d | Some-Pledge | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,026 | +$25 +0.5% | 4 |
| 218d | Flustered-Measles-Raise | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $5,013 | +$25 +0.5% | 4 |
BobInvestments1,074 shares
DEGENKHAN939 shares
Wojtek4,531 shares
LornaPredicts657 sharesThis market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 97¢ for Elon Musk means the market gives it about 97%.