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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 882d | pkz | Rishi Sunak out before next UK election? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | −$60 −5.3% | — |
| 903d |  ImJustKen | Rishi Sunak out before next UK election? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,482 | +$498 +11% | 10 |
| 903d | anonim6 fills | Rishi Sunak out before next UK election? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $13,035 | +$2,185 +17% | 10 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rishi Sunak ceases to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any length of time between April 29, 2024, and the next UK general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sunak ceases to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until the next UK general election takes place. If no election takes place by January 31, 2025, and Sunak has remained Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for the entire duration of the market without interruption this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.