Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 571d | RoadTo50k | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,884 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 571d |  MisTKy32 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,992 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 572d |  Maks2004Ukraine | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,949 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 572d | Qtyu | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,520 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 572d |  wowfarm | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 572d |  ScamWick10 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $37,477 | +$2,437 +6.5% | 20 |
| 573d | aviato2 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,990 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 574d |  scottilicious | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo>99¢ | $7,378 | −$22 −0.3% | — |
| 574d | MisTKy32 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $35,584 | +$81 +0.2% | 20 |
| 574d |  KingZeManel | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,112 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 574d |  noreasapa3 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,639 | +$54 +0.6% | 20 |
| 574d | noreasapa | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo>99¢ | $7,268 | −$29 −0.4% | — |
| 574d | nonkenny90 | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,573 | −$14 −0.4% | — |
| 575d |  ThePortrait | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,688 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 575d | wokerjoesleeper | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,073 | −$12 −0.4% | — |
| 575d | puppyjoegreen | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,195 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 575d | a777-725 | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,151 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 576d |  KimJonEn | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,737 | −$40 −0.7% | — |
| 576d |  debased2 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,562 | +$169 +6.6% | 20 |
| 576d | keribit2 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,655 | +$98 +0.8% | 20 |
| 576d | barron124 | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | +$9 +0.6% | 20 |
| 576d | perfectlypredictingthepast | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $18,938 | −$147 −0.8% | — |
| 576d |  Car4 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,166 | +$137 +1.0% | 20 |
| 577d | TheB4ron | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,105 | +$23 +1.1% | 20 |
| 577d | Nowhere-Man3 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,532 | +$116 +1.4% | 20 |
| 577d |  Rane2022 | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,084 | −$34 −1.7% | — |
| 577d |  AuthenticDemigod | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,935 | +$65 +1.3% | 20 |
| 578d | Idontwantausername | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,943 | −$57 −1.9% | — |
| 578d | GMIB | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,561 | −$84 −5.4% | — |
| 578d | Winninghumbly | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,517 | −$773 −51% | — |
| 578d |  carney-pls-win | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,001 | −$1,001 −100% | 22 |
| 578d | Superjet | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,273 | −$27 −2.1% | — |
| 578d | aviato | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | +$29 +2.6% | 20 |
| 578d | Nowhere-Man | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,312 | −$128 −3.0% | — |
| 578d |  Justitia3 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,410 | +$471 +5.6% | 20 |
| 578d |  BeneGesseritVoice | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,492 | −$77 −3.1% | — |
| 578d | 0x138aD4FD2E68C3468FaB74a6O1AD166894952a04 | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,213 | −$65 −2.9% | — |
| 578d | Generator2 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,370 | +$167 +2.0% | 20 |
| 578d |  dududududu | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | −$25 −2.3% | — |
| 579d | OptionK2 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,276 | +$69 +2.1% | 20 |
| 579d | bonaqa | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$22 +2.0% | 20 |
| 580d |  7145964 | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,192 | +$28 +2.4% | 20 |
| 580d | almost-never | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,515 | +$138 +2.1% | 20 |
| 580d | HanSolo242 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,792 | −$258 −2.6% | — |
| 580d | amused853 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,438 | −$307 −2.9% | — |
| 581d | AZwater | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,035 | +$63 +3.1% | 20 |
| 581d | CrashOverride95 | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,274 | +$30 +2.3% | 20 |
| 581d | Maks2004Ukraine | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,903 | +$51 +1.8% | 20 |
| 581d | Trump2028 | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $18,171 | +$360 +2.0% | 20 |
| 582d | burrito338 | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,633 | +$66 +2.5% | 20 |
| 582d | scottilicious2 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,554 | +$156 +3.4% | 20 |
| 582d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA2 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $11,640 | +$302 +2.6% | 20 |
| 583d | KimJonEn | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,316 | +$41 +3.1% | 20 |
| 583d | Eragon1250 | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,865 | −$56 −3.0% | — |
| 583d | Superjet | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$39 +2.6% | 20 |
| 583d | perfectlypredictingthepast | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $18,513 | +$572 +3.1% | 20 |
| 583d | NELF2 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,185 | −$205 −4.9% | — |
| 583d | HanSolo243 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,322 | +$343 +5.4% | 20 |
| 584d |  Ox1b1osgjjh173hdhdyy19h18hshbcndims12gsn | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,233 | −$171 −5.3% | — |
| 584d | Zittex | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,608 | +$74 +4.6% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.