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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +67 pts | +55 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 425d |  kejsldohen | Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,162 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 425d |  exit-liqudity | Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,093 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 425d | kejsldohen | Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,677 | +$70 +4.2% | 4 |
| 427d |  wignerparadox | Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31? | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $3,468 | −$3,468 −100% | 4 |
wignerparadox4,973 shares
Kakashi718 shares
BiggieCheeseTrades500 shares
Shayku471 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any confirmed prisoner exchange between Russia and Ukraine takes place between August 14, and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The number of prisoners involved does not matter. Any swap involving military or civilian detainees held by either government will qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.