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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 966d |  ImJustKen2 fills | Russian nuke in space by March 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,686 | +$147 +2.6% | 4 |
| 966d |  BigMike11 | Russian nuke in space by March 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | +$30 +2.0% | 4 |
| 968d | vainglorious87 | Russian nuke in space by March 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,548 | +$52 +2.0% | 4 |
| 974d | tremp420 | Russian nuke in space by March 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,423 | +$75 +3.1% | 4 |
| 980d | khabib-706 | Russian nuke in space by March 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | +$54 +4.2% | 4 |
| 980d |  ANudeEgg | Russian nuke in space by March 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$45 +4.2% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Russian Federation places a nuclear weapon in space (an altitude of 50+ miles above sea level) by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.