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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 487d | funguy1988 | Sam Altman arrested before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,652 | −$12 −0.7% | — |
| 488d | funguy1988 | Sam Altman arrested before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,657 | +$7 +0.4% | 20 |
| 495d | mitraa2 fills | Sam Altman arrested before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,328 | +$35 +1.0% | 20 |
| 499d | mitraa | Sam Altman arrested before July? | SellNo100¢ | $2,338 | −$12 −0.5% | — |
| 577d |  DegenerateJanet | Sam Altman arrested before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,431 | +$60 +4.2% | 20 |
| 580d | QMG-CORE | Sam Altman arrested before July? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$83 +7.5% | 20 |
| 652d | surf | Sam Altman arrested before July? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | −$78 −6.4% | — |
is market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is arrested between January 7 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. However, official information from the government involved in any action against Altman and information from Altman's legal representatives will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.