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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Pablo Velasco | 100% | +19 pts | +32 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Juan Carlos Medrano | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Otto Ritter | 0% | −19 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mauricio Quezada | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Miguel Cadima | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chi Hyun Chung | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vladimir Peña | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Julio César Tórrez | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luis Fernando Camacho | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guido Eduardo Nayar | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 187d | 0x3cfa…b342 | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellYes>99¢ | $1,283 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 187d | Mondayr2 fills | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $15,133 | −$1,134 −7.5% | — |
| 187d | Nicxx2 fills | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,795 | −$77 −0.8% | — |
| 187d | Wobbly-Crime | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellYes>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 187d | d-flow | Juan Pablo Velasco | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,068 | +$6 +0.3% | 10 |
| 187d | Nicxx2 fills | Juan Pablo Velasco | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,532 | +$248 +9.8% | 13 |
| 188d | Mondayr | Juan Pablo Velasco | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$312 +22% | 10 |
| 188d | username-is-not-taken3 fills | Otto Ritter | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $6,166 | +$1,363 +22% | 16 |
| 188d | omnibus-4247797 fills | Juan Pablo Velasco | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $82,502 | +$1,815 +2.2% | 10 |
| 189d |  mrworldwide | Otto Ritter | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,762 | −$170 −9.7% | — |
| 190d | Selasito | Juan Pablo Velasco | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$71 +7.1% | 11 |
| 190d | omnibus-4247792 fills | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellYes42¢ → 100¢ | $6,462 | −$8,809 −136% | — |
| 192d | turo | Juan Pablo Velasco | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,744 | +$331 +19% | 11 |
| 197d |  Sentinel28 | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellYes32¢ → 100¢ | $1,826 | −$3,911 −214% | — |
| 206d | Sentinel28 | Luis Fernando Camacho | SellNo>99¢ | $2,375 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 212d | Rash-ale | Luis Fernando Camacho | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,318 | −$52 −2.2% | — |
| 214d |  01mn23zx | Luis Fernando Camacho | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,729 | −$130 −7.5% | — |
| 215d | flecheiro | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellYes38¢ → 100¢ | $1,202 | −$1,936 −161% | — |
| 215d | Gruesome-Providence | Juan Pablo Velasco | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | +$291 +28% | 10 |
| 221d | Speak-Alarm | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,630 | +$1,630 +100% | — |
| 221d | civil-wonder-often | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,156 | +$1,156 +100% | — |
| 221d | upperWeb | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,248 | +$1,248 +100% | — |
| 221d | Shellgy10 | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,683 | +$1,683 +100% | — |
| 221d | Addictsj62 | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,261 | +$1,261 +100% | — |
| 221d | alcohol13 | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,069 | +$1,069 +100% | — |
| 221d | nervegg75 | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,485 | +$1,485 +100% | — |
| 221d | upperWeb | Juan Pablo Velasco | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,249 | −$1,249 −100% | 10 |
| 221d | Shellgy10 | Juan Pablo Velasco | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,489 | −$1,489 −100% | 10 |
| 221d | grape027 | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,351 | +$1,351 +100% | — |
| 221d | grape027 | Juan Pablo Velasco | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,354 | −$1,354 −100% | 10 |
| 221d | Embracegb87 | Juan Pablo Velasco | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,584 | −$1,584 −100% | 10 |
| 221d | Hill674 | Juan Pablo Velasco | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,328 | −$1,328 −100% | 10 |
| 221d | twenty-oval | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,218 | +$1,218 +100% | — |
| 221d | twenty-oval | Juan Pablo Velasco | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,238 | −$1,238 −100% | 10 |
| 221d | arrow417 | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo89¢ → 0¢ | $1,037 | +$1,037 +100% | — |
| 221d | Solaryn96 | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo89¢ → 0¢ | $1,418 | +$1,418 +100% | — |
| 221d | liquidAdvice | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo89¢ → 0¢ | $1,190 | +$1,190 +100% | — |
| 221d | artvi76 | Juan Pablo Velasco | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,066 | −$1,066 −100% | 10 |
| 221d | arrow417 | Juan Pablo Velasco | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,048 | −$1,048 −100% | 10 |
| 221d | liquidAdvice | Juan Pablo Velasco | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,203 | −$1,203 −100% | 10 |
| 221d | Solaryn96 | Juan Pablo Velasco | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,434 | −$1,434 −100% | 10 |
| 221d | mountain-slow-alley | Juan Pablo Velasco | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,084 | −$1,084 −100% | 10 |
| 226d | diadjaid2 fills | Luis Fernando Camacho | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $2,465 | −$2,465 −100% | 10 |
| 227d | Puzzle-Deliver-Pelican | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo91¢ → 0¢ | $1,541 | +$1,541 +100% | — |
| 227d | depth-drive | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo91¢ → 0¢ | $1,682 | +$1,682 +100% | — |
| 227d | bulb-turtle | Juan Pablo Velasco | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,422 | −$1,422 −100% | 10 |
| 227d | Puzzle-Deliver-Pelican | Juan Pablo Velasco | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,522 | −$1,522 −100% | 10 |
| 228d | Display279 | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo88¢ → 0¢ | $1,187 | +$1,187 +100% | — |
| 228d | stepVibrant | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo88¢ → 0¢ | $1,138 | +$1,138 +100% | — |
| 228d | real-predict | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo88¢ → 0¢ | $1,070 | +$1,070 +100% | — |
| 228d | momentav80 | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo88¢ → 0¢ | $1,230 | +$1,230 +100% | — |
| 228d | uponct11 | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo88¢ → 0¢ | $1,205 | +$1,205 +100% | — |
| 228d | guessThrow | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo88¢ → 0¢ | $1,147 | +$1,147 +100% | — |
| 228d | cyclede16 | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo88¢ → 0¢ | $1,242 | +$1,242 +100% | — |
| 228d | access103 | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo89¢ → 0¢ | $1,089 | +$1,089 +100% | — |
| 228d | firstxt32 | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo89¢ → 0¢ | $1,647 | +$1,647 +100% | — |
| 228d | bulb-turtle | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo89¢ → 0¢ | $1,520 | +$1,520 +100% | — |
| 228d | animal-rookie | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo89¢ → 0¢ | $1,367 | +$1,367 +100% | — |
| 228d | Swimxa79 | Juan Pablo Velasco | SellNo89¢ → 0¢ | $1,366 | +$1,366 +100% | — |
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Juan Pablo Velasco means the market gives it about 100%.