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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André do Prado | 100% | +8 pts | +36 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Dra. Eliana Ferreira | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ednelson Cesaretti | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Geraldo Rufino | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guilherme Derrite | 0% | −7 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maíra de Souza | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marcio Alves | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marina Silva | 0% | −3 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Petter Maahs | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Salles | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Simone Tebet | 0% | −1 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Soninha Francine | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Weller Gonçalves | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| William Teixeira | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candidate A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20d | Votei14Voude222 fills | Marina Silva | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $4,136 | +$538 +13% | 13 |
| 20d | LulaVaiPerder2 fills | Simone Tebet | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,950 | +$494 +13% | 13 |
| 20d | LulaVaiPerder3 fills | Marina Silva | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $11,782 | +$1,248 +11% | 11 |
| 20d | MissaoComFlavio5 fills | Marina Silva | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $12,680 | +$1,357 +11% | 11 |
| 24d | Votei14Voude22 | Simone Tebet | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | +$69 +6.4% | 10 |
| 24d | themain | André do Prado | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $3,568 | +$2,659 +75% | 12 |
Rambaldi.seeker96 sharesThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for André do Prado means the market gives it about 100%.