| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 228,257 | 68¢ → 94¢ | $213,420 | +$57,413 +37% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 135,447 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $104,972 | −$44 −0.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 143,107 | 35¢ → 66¢ | $94,951 | +$44,454 +88% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 134,924 | 60¢ → 49¢ | $65,573 | −$15,963 −20% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 73,443 | 51¢ → 60¢ | $43,699 | +$6,370 +17% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 3d | No | 120,142 | 28¢ → 35¢ | $42,050 | +$8,516 +25% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 84,066 | 59¢ → 49¢ | $40,772 | −$8,970 −18% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 44,336 | 76¢ → 85¢ | $37,464 | +$3,805 +11% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 41,225 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $35,247 | +$210 +0.6% |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Ends in 5d | Yes | 37,824 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $34,930 | +$574 +1.7% |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 37,203 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $34,413 | +$1,621 +4.9% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 38,493 | 45¢ → 87¢ | $33,297 | +$16,144 +94% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 5d | No | 101,175 | 33¢ → 31¢ | $30,858 | −$2,153 −6.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 52,703 | 59¢ → 57¢ | $30,304 | −$1,019 −3.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 6d | Yes | 36,394 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $30,025 | +$104 +0.3% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 282d | No | 40,326 | 61¢ → 72¢ | $28,833 | +$4,041 +16% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 31,007 | 80¢ → 93¢ | $28,681 | +$3,829 +15% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 5d | No | 30,701 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $28,552 | +$2,157 +8.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 34,685 | 90¢ → 82¢ | $28,268 | −$2,918 −9.4% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 27,622 | 83¢ → 99¢ | $27,304 | +$4,406 +19% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 46,768 | 59¢ → 57¢ | $26,892 | −$924 −3.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 72,767 | 43¢ → 30¢ | $21,830 | −$9,801 −31% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 45,050 | 36¢ → 42¢ | $18,696 | +$2,326 +14% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 3d | Yes | 52,373 | 28¢ → 36¢ | $18,592 | +$3,680 +25% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?Ends in 2d | No | 18,428 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $17,673 | +$1,060 +6.4% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 19,223 | 63¢ → 86¢ | $16,531 | +$4,482 +37% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 70d | No | 27,512 | 56¢ → 58¢ | $15,888 | +$571 +3.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 12d | No | 16,371 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $15,143 | +$82 +0.5% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 12d | Yes | 19,703 | 77¢ → 74¢ | $14,580 | −$678 −4.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 22,310 | 73¢ → 62¢ | $13,832 | −$2,361 −15% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 101d | No | 29,195 | 52¢ → 47¢ | $13,722 | −$1,438 −9.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 21,088 | 72¢ → 62¢ | $12,969 | −$2,150 −14% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 42,238 | 44¢ → 31¢ | $12,883 | −$5,576 −30% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 34,437 | 40¢ → 37¢ | $12,587 | −$1,183 −8.6% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 2d | Yes | 13,029 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $12,052 | +$1,019 +9.2% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Ends in 101d | Yes | 13,377 | 66¢ → 89¢ | $11,839 | +$2,966 +33% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 14,265 | 86¢ → 82¢ | $11,626 | −$701 −5.7% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 13,504 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $11,039 | −$264 −2.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Ends in 12d | No | 17,489 | 80¢ → 63¢ | $10,930 | −$3,105 −22% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 11,867 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $10,799 | +$26 +0.2% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 2d | No | 34,103 | 29¢ → 31¢ | $10,402 | +$449 +4.5% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 70d | Yes | 56,708 | 23¢ → 18¢ | $10,264 | −$2,911 −22% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 19,145 | 38¢ → 54¢ | $10,243 | +$2,959 +41% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 24d | Yes | 20,547 | 53¢ → 50¢ | $10,171 | −$683 −6.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 15,586 | 80¢ → 63¢ | $9,741 | −$2,700 −22% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 13d | No | 15,685 | 64¢ → 59¢ | $9,254 | −$792 −7.9% |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | No | 9,430 | 29¢ → 98¢ | $9,232 | +$6,477 +235% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 9,538 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $8,789 | +$139 +1.6% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 9,636 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $8,721 | +$626 +7.7% |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Ends in 2d | No | 9,819 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $8,444 | +$345 +4.3% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 5d | Yes | 26,672 | 42¢ → 31¢ | $8,135 | −$3,044 −27% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 9,155 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $8,010 | −$21 −0.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 47d | No | 30,291 | 28¢ → 26¢ | $7,876 | −$703 −8.2% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 16,253 | 28¢ → 43¢ | $6,907 | +$2,285 +49% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 6,876 | 78¢ → 98¢ | $6,711 | +$1,314 +24% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 7,405 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $6,702 | +$555 +9.0% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 7,622 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $6,517 | +$55 +0.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 6,475 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $6,229 | +$285 +4.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 8,296 | 69¢ → 74¢ | $6,098 | +$401 +7.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 6,196 | 64¢ → 94¢ | $5,793 | +$1,798 +45% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 5,899 | 71¢ → 98¢ | $5,760 | +$1,572 +38% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Ends in 31d | Yes | 13,079 | 52¢ → 43¢ | $5,624 | −$1,119 −17% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?Ends in 12d | No | 13,897 | 62¢ → 40¢ | $5,489 | −$3,060 −36% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 2d | No | 5,503 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $5,418 | +$448 +9.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?Ends in 12d | No | 8,992 | 74¢ → 54¢ | $4,856 | −$1,798 −27% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 4,857 | 73¢ → 98¢ | $4,767 | +$1,236 +35% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?Ends in 12d | No | 6,991 | 72¢ → 65¢ | $4,544 | −$498 −9.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?Ends in 12d | No | 6,345 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $4,505 | +$64 +1.5% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 11,922 | 43¢ → 37¢ | $4,411 | −$721 −14% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Ends in 9d | No | 4,775 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $4,348 | +$258 +6.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 6,006 | 71¢ → 71¢ | $4,264 | +$13 +0.3% |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%?Ends in 3d | No | 4,452 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $4,225 | −$49 −1.1% |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?Ends in 3d | No | 4,574 | 84¢ → 90¢ | $4,094 | +$252 +6.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 4,986 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $3,989 | −$149 −3.6% |
| Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 8,787 | 57¢ → 44¢ | $3,866 | −$1,142 −23% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 23,291 | 17¢ → 16¢ | $3,610 | −$274 −7.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 8,223 | 40¢ → 44¢ | $3,577 | +$250 +7.5% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 16,734 | 61¢ → 21¢ | $3,431 | −$6,797 −66% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Ends in 12d | No | 4,814 | 73¢ → 71¢ | $3,394 | −$115 −3.3% |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 5,645 | 35¢ → 60¢ | $3,387 | +$1,431 +73% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 47d | Yes | 14,419 | 31¢ → 23¢ | $3,316 | −$1,145 −26% |
| Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 5,892 | 74¢ → 55¢ | $3,211 | −$1,146 −26% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 12d | Yes | 4,787 | 67¢ → 67¢ | $3,184 | −$23 −0.7% |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Ends in 3d | No | 3,820 | 73¢ → 82¢ | $3,132 | +$357 +13% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 24d | Yes | 5,136 | 67¢ → 59¢ | $3,005 | −$437 −13% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 37d | No | 8,198 | 30¢ → 37¢ | $2,992 | +$509 +20% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4,667 | 65¢ → 60¢ | $2,777 | −$257 −8.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?Ends in 12d | No | 3,369 | 83¢ → 81¢ | $2,729 | −$67 −2.4% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 14,873 | 40¢ → 18¢ | $2,677 | −$3,272 −55% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 5,544 | 47¢ → 47¢ | $2,606 | $0 0.0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 77,772 | 19¢ → 3¢ | $2,605 | −$12,407 −83% |
| Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Ends in 37d | No | 2,902 | 56¢ → 90¢ | $2,601 | +$979 +60% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 2,857 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $2,585 | +$214 +9.0% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 3,549 | 57¢ → 73¢ | $2,573 | +$562 +28% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 12d | No | 4,715 | 64¢ → 54¢ | $2,546 | −$472 −16% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 20,599 | 20¢ → 12¢ | $2,431 | −$1,655 −41% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 7,165 | 30¢ → 34¢ | $2,400 | +$251 +12% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?Ends in 12d | No | 4,235 | 63¢ → 54¢ | $2,287 | −$361 −14% |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 3,307 | 66¢ → 69¢ | $2,282 | +$91 +4.2% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?Ends in 12d | Yes | 4,690 | 57¢ → 48¢ | $2,251 | −$434 −16% |
