Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 938d | nickbtts | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 24 |
| 938d | dooDoo69 | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,187 | +$91 +7.7% | 20 |
| 939d | EscalateFund2 fills | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,552 | +$424 +7.6% | 20 |
| 939d | SKAssets | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$495 +9.9% | 20 |
| 939d | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | SellYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | +$1,050 +100% | — | |
| 939d | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$500 +11% | 20 | |
| 939d | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,990 | +$510 +13% | 20 | |
| 941d | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | SellYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | +$1,000 +100% | — | |
| 949d | BeN | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,825 | +$385 +14% | 20 |
| 949d | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $4,377 | +$912 +21% | 20 | |
| 949d | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,040 | +$305 +15% | 20 | |
| 950d | anonim12 fills | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $61,367 | +$21,015 +34% | 20 |
| 951d | Thunderbird | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,617 | +$324 +20% | 20 |
| 959d | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | BuyYes19¢ → 0¢ | $2,465 | −$2,465 −100% | 25 | |
| 971d | yanlei | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | +$295 +28% | 20 |
| 979d | aaabbb | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,043 | +$610 +30% | 20 |
| 1005d | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,850 | −$650 −35% | — | |
| 1013d | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $4,802 | −$4,802 −100% | 26 | |
| 1080d | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | SellYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,398 | +$1,398 +100% | — | |
| 1082d | AlexakReator | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | +$439 +41% | 20 |
| 1082d | anonim | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $9,678 | −$4,271 −44% | — |
| 1085d | SBF's Lawyer | SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $1,380 | −$1,380 −100% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SBF is sentenced to 50 or more years in prison for the charges for which he is presently on trial (as of Oct 3, 2023) by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first sentence rendered by the court regarding SBF's present trial. If SBF's ongoing trial ends (e.g. mistrial) without the rendering of a sentence, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the US court system, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.