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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyril Ramaphosa | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| John Steenhuisen | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Jacob Zuma | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Julius Malema | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Velenkosini Hlabisa | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Pieter Groenewald | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Another ANC candidate | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 862d | cautious | Another ANC candidate | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,934 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 862d | cautious5 fills | Cyril Ramaphosa | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $7,123 | +$687 +9.6% | 10 |
| 862d | cautious2 fills | John Steenhuisen | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,919 | +$105 +1.5% | 10 |
| 862d | cautious2 fills | Other | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,206 | +$211 +1.6% | 10 |
| 876d | zelot | Cyril Ramaphosa | SellYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | −$915 −69% | — |
| 876d | Irako Seigen2 fills | Cyril Ramaphosa | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,413 | +$385 +11% | 10 |
| 878d | kenshotme | Other | BuyNo100¢ | $5,400 | +$27 +0.5% | 10 |
| 879d | zelot | Cyril Ramaphosa | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,673 | +$145 +8.7% | 10 |
| 881d | cautious | Cyril Ramaphosa | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | −$120 −11% | — |
| 888d | anonim3 fills | Cyril Ramaphosa | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $25,254 | +$7,647 +30% | 10 |
| 900d | anonim | John Steenhuisen | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,027 | +$159 +5.3% | 10 |
| 900d | anonim | Cyril Ramaphosa | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $2,569 | −$950 −37% | — |
| 915d |  ImJustKen | Jacob Zuma | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,478 | +$23 +1.5% | 10 |
| 915d | ImJustKen | Julius Malema | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,673 | +$27 +1.6% | 10 |
asda
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Cyril Ramaphosa means the market gives it about 100%.