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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +2 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 438d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,164 | +$71 +0.6% | 20 | |
| 439d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,970 | −$42 −2.1% | — | |
| 439d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,243 | +$58 +2.6% | 20 | |
| 439d | Avmjksdyy | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,633 | −$66 −4.0% | — |
| 441d | pol765 fills | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $8,937 | −$843 −9.4% | — |
| 443d | jaehyun787 | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$64 +3.2% | 20 |
| 443d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,035 | +$65 +3.2% | 20 | |
| 443d | Avmjksdyy | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,925 | +$73 +3.8% | 20 |
| 444d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,092 | +$234 +5.7% | 20 | |
| 444d | Abadtaste2 fills | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $17,916 | +$2,841 +16% | 20 |
| 446d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | +$72 +6.5% | 20 | |
| 446d | zagzagzagzag | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $7,130 | −$455 −6.4% | — |
| 460d | hindu | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,685 | +$92 +5.5% | 20 |
| 464d | jinsanity | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $5,316 | −$507 −9.5% | — |
| 466d | jinsanity2 fills | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,416 | +$296 +6.7% | 20 |
| 468d | Rickson83 | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,769 | −$155 −8.8% | — |
| 468d | namkyoo | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,743 | −$152 −8.7% | — |
| 471d | moondk | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | −$83 −7.5% | — |
| 472d | pol762 fills | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,181 | +$314 +9.9% | 20 |
| 472d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | −$105 −8.7% | — | |
| 474d | hindu | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $3,186 | −$652 −20% | — |
| 478d | karimi | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,304 | +$267 +20% | 20 |
| 479d | yjcr | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $9,907 | +$2,093 +21% | 20 |
| 480d | RedChk | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,330 | +$332 +25% | 20 |
| 481d | 1mperator17 | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyNo24¢ → 0¢ | $1,384 | −$1,384 −100% | 22 |
| 483d | Psyche-Eros2 fills | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $5,377 | −$1,531 −28% | — |
| 483d | hindu | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $2,068 | −$2,068 −100% | 24 |
| 483d | Jerry42429 fills | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $23,353 | −$8,285 −35% | — |
| 491d | Radahn-131 | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellNo15¢ → 0¢ | $1,173 | +$1,173 +100% | — |
| 492d | Jerry42424 fills | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $13,700 | +$3,871 +28% | 20 |
| 496d | brandon20 | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $2,766 | +$874 +32% | 20 |
| 498d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellNo21¢ → 0¢ | $4,280 | +$4,280 +100% | — | |
| 499d | KrackenSruster2 fills | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellNo25¢ → 0¢ | $5,573 | +$5,573 +100% | — |
| 500d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyNo24¢ → 0¢ | $1,280 | −$1,280 −100% | 21 | |
| 501d | spark1 | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $2,065 | −$2,065 −100% | 23 |
| 501d | abusivienejskx | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | −$356 −33% | — |
| 501d | Rickson83 | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$314 +31% | 20 |
| 503d | nakshi2 fills | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$687 +27% | 20 |
| 504d | FIREPILLAR | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,260 | −$753 −33% | — |
| 504d | FIREPILLAR | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,701 | +$807 +30% | 20 |
| 507d | chhhhhhh | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$254 +25% | 20 |
| 507d | tortil | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellNo21¢ → 0¢ | $1,251 | +$1,251 +100% | — |
| 508d | qwerkk8 fills | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $25,487 | +$4,451 +17% | 20 |
| 519d | KrackenSruster | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 21 |
| 530d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyNo16¢ → 0¢ | $3,681 | −$3,681 −100% | 28 | |
| 530d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyNo17¢ → 0¢ | $2,046 | −$2,046 −100% | 24 | |
| 531d | whynot2025 | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | +$352 +32% | 20 |
| 533d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,173 | −$1,173 −100% | 20 | |
| 539d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyNo31¢ → 0¢ | $2,643 | −$2,643 −100% | 24 | |
| 551d | RedChk | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | −$764 −52% | — |
| 551d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellNo30¢ → 0¢ | $2,167 | +$2,167 +100% | — | |
| 557d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | −$1,050 −54% | — | |
| 557d | Sorrowful-Miscommunication2 fills | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $7,680 | −$3,520 −46% | — |
| 557d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $2,497 | −$2,497 −100% | 23 | |
| 558d | 0x65c65De373A10e5f319f72 | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | −$3,849 −101% | — |
| 561d | anythingbut | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,603 | −$790 −49% | — |
| 562d | jiho3117 | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | −$534 −49% | — |
| 563d | Abadtaste | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $5,009 | −$2,416 −48% | — |
| 566d | user588436 | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | SellNo30¢ → 0¢ | $3,796 | +$3,796 +100% | — |
| 567d | tortil | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | BuyNo33¢ → 0¢ | $1,357 | −$1,357 −100% | 21 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the First Lady of South Korea Kim Keon-hee is arrested or detained by law enforcement between December 31, 2024, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.