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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 17 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 30 | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 31 | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 191d | April 17 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,308 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 191d | gambling.master | April 17 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,766 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 achieves an intraday high price greater than 7,002.28 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for April 17 means the market gives it about 100%.