| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 2d | No | 14,359 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $14,136 | +$1,684 +14% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?Ends in 2d | No | 7,932 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $7,567 | +$848 +13% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?Ends in 2d | No | 6,231 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $6,153 | +$468 +8.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 12d | Yes | 5,000 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $4,625 | +$75 +1.6% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 3,647 | 78¢ → 94¢ | $3,410 | +$554 +19% |
| Denmark snap election called by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 3,362 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $3,312 | +$199 +6.4% |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 5d | Yes | 3,765 | 74¢ → 84¢ | $3,144 | +$356 +13% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 3,255 | 67¢ → 92¢ | $2,979 | +$782 +36% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 3,332 | 63¢ → 75¢ | $2,483 | +$376 +18% |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 2,357 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $2,248 | +$265 +13% |
| Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?Ends in 11d | No | 2,389 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $2,162 | +$70 +3.3% |
| Will Podemos win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 38d | No | 2,120 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $2,091 | +$82 +4.1% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,027 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $1,979 | +$169 +9.4% |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 2,006 | 75¢ → 96¢ | $1,925 | +$427 +29% |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 70d | No | 1,896 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $1,847 | +$126 +7.3% |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,830 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $1,656 | +$114 +7.4% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 526d | Yes | 2,008 | 75¢ → 82¢ | $1,637 | +$131 +8.7% |
| Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 1,676 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $1,622 | +$93 +6.1% |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 1,639 | 69¢ → 92¢ | $1,513 | +$376 +33% |
| France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?Ends in 39d | No | 1,735 | 69¢ → 82¢ | $1,423 | +$218 +18% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 3,152 | 16¢ → 38¢ | $1,198 | +$696 +139% |
| America.gov removed by October 31?Ends in 70d | No | 1,213 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $1,179 | +$58 +5.2% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above $68B?Ends in 5d | No | 1,249 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $1,160 | +$20 +1.8% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 70d | No | 1,594 | 49¢ → 69¢ | $1,100 | +$319 +41% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Ends in 101d | No | 1,080 | 56¢ → 98¢ | $1,058 | +$455 +75% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,597 | 37¢ → 65¢ | $1,038 | +$443 +74% |
| Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?Ends in 11d | El-Sayed | 1,097 | 76¢ → 93¢ | $1,021 | +$183 +22% |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | No | 4,282 | 9¢ → 23¢ | $976 | +$608 +165% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 3d | No | 1,000 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $931 | +$126 +16% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 1,105 | 65¢ → 84¢ | $928 | +$207 +29% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,204 | 82¢ → 77¢ | $927 | −$56 −5.7% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 400,000 and 450,000?Ends in 12d | No | 978 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $851 | +$89 +12% |
| Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 859 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $844 | +$121 +17% |
| Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | No | 955 | 68¢ → 85¢ | $811 | +$160 +24% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 2,500,000 and 2,750,000?Ends in 12d | No | 875 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $792 | +$62 +8.4% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Valladolid in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 38d | Yes | 867 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $754 | +$19 +2.5% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Málaga in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 38d | Yes | 834 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $748 | +$41 +5.8% |
| Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 70d | No | 770 | 49¢ → 97¢ | $746 | +$367 +97% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 774 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $739 | +$103 +16% |
| Will Nayib Bukele win the 2027 Salvadoran presidential election?Ends in 129d | Yes | 771 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $737 | +$56 +8.1% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | No | 1,214 | 52¢ → 61¢ | $735 | +$109 +17% |
| Will Vox win the most seats in Teruel in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 38d | No | 711 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $684 | +$100 +17% |
| Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?Ends in 466d | No | 1,162 | 70¢ → 58¢ | $674 | −$143 −17% |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 693 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $672 | +$106 +19% |
| Will US win 55% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 2d | No | 703 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $672 | +$38 +6.0% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 700 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $664 | +$62 +10% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,453 | 55¢ → 46¢ | $661 | −$133 −17% |
| Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 39d | No | 2,516 | 60¢ → 26¢ | $641 | −$864 −57% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 817 | 70¢ → 78¢ | $637 | +$67 +12% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 70d | No | 692 | 62¢ → 92¢ | $637 | +$205 +47% |
| Will Clavicular visit China in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 649 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $616 | +$83 +16% |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Ends in 227d | No | 607 | 76¢ → 99¢ | $599 | +$136 +30% |
| Will none of these people be impeached by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | No | 820 | 56¢ → 72¢ | $590 | +$128 +28% |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 727 | 63¢ → 80¢ | $581 | +$125 +27% |
| Will Broad Front (FA) win the third-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 38d | No | 583 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $580 | +$69 +14% |
| Will Newt Gingrich attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 564 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $548 | +$67 +14% |
| Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 70d | No | 640 | 60¢ → 84¢ | $537 | +$153 +40% |
| Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 39d | No | 1,299 | 32¢ → 41¢ | $526 | +$114 +28% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo join the Saudi Pro League next?Ends in 313d | Yes | 1,039 | 17¢ → 51¢ | $525 | +$349 +199% |
| Will Oman join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 527 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $524 | +$52 +11% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Granada in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 38d | Yes | 647 | 74¢ → 81¢ | $521 | +$39 +8.1% |
| Netanyahu drops out before election?Ends in 4d | No | 522 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $519 | +$17 +3.4% |
| Will Vitinha finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 70d | No | 501 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $500 | +$19 +4.0% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Ends in 101d | No | 495 | 79¢ → >99¢ | $495 | +$105 +27% |
| Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by March 31, 2027?Ends in 160d | No | 710 | 38¢ → 69¢ | $486 | +$218 +81% |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 540 | 74¢ → 90¢ | $486 | +$84 +21% |
| Will xAI have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 4d | No | 484 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $483 | +$23 +5.1% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 70d | No | 503 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $476 | +$22 +4.8% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Ends in 5d | Yes | 777 | 49¢ → 61¢ | $474 | +$97 +26% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 498 | 50¢ → 93¢ | $464 | +$213 +85% |
| Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 519 | 68¢ → 89¢ | $463 | +$112 +32% |
| Will AfD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Ends ended | No | 465 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $461 | +$27 +6.2% |
| Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 527 | 80¢ → 88¢ | $461 | +$41 +9.9% |
| Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 70d | No | 457 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $456 | +$17 +4.0% |
| Will Morocco join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 462 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $449 | +$28 +6.7% |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 122m by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 449 | 77¢ → >99¢ | $448 | +$102 +30% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Zamora in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 38d | Yes | 471 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $447 | +$59 +15% |
| No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 455 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $442 | +$86 +24% |
| Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Ends ended | No | 468 | 16¢ → 93¢ | $435 | +$360 +478% |
| Will EUR/USD hit 1.26 (High) in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 438 | 51¢ → 98¢ | $430 | +$205 +91% |
| Will Together win less than 7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 38d | No | 466 | 76¢ → 92¢ | $428 | +$75 +21% |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 432 | 36¢ → 98¢ | $422 | +$267 +172% |
| Will Amazon be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 70d | No | 423 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $421 | +$36 +9.3% |
| Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 500 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $415 | −$7 −1.7% |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in Palencia in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 38d | No | 432 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $412 | +$69 +20% |
| Will Yashar win 24% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 4d | No | 418 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $409 | +$32 +8.5% |
| JD Vance Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 407 | 51¢ → 98¢ | $399 | +$193 +93% |
| Will voter turnout be less than 62% in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 38d | No | 425 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $396 | +$37 +10% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 60%-65%?Ends in 12d | No | 515 | 58¢ → 76¢ | $392 | +$94 +32% |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 411 | 71¢ → 95¢ | $391 | +$101 +35% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 178d | Yes | 828 | 31¢ → 46¢ | $383 | +$127 +50% |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $270B by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 384 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $382 | +$39 +11% |
| Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 2,172 | 7¢ → 18¢ | $380 | +$228 +150% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?Ends in 12d | No | 361 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $357 | +$21 +6.4% |
| Will Together win 20 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 38d | No | 381 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $355 | +$7 +1.9% |
| Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,756 | 11¢ → 20¢ | $351 | +$166 +90% |
| Will Erling Haaland finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 70d | No | 340 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $340 | +$13 +4.1% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Navarre in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 38d | Yes | 405 | 57¢ → 83¢ | $336 | +$107 +47% |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $39B by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 354 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $331 | +$19 +6.1% |
| Ron DeSantis Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 330 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $329 | +$24 +7.9% |
