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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +16 pts | +69 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 303d | 0x5cb6…91e42 fills | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,342 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 303d | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,309 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 303d | 0x5cb6…91e42 fills | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,162 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 303d | 0xac3e…9aeb3 fills | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,367 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 303d | AK139 - 7565 | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,154 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 303d | SportsHome | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,118 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 303d | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,191 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 303d | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,819 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 303d | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,112 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 303d | sleepin | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,522 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 303d | Liquidifier5 fills | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,721 | +$43 +0.2% | 4 |
| 303d | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,311 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 303d | lontou | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $14,373 | −$31 −0.2% | — |
| 303d | gdkkz | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,510 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 303d | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 303d | SweetChariot | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,158 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 303d | 0x891c…e137 | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,298 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 303d | 0xc1af…0dae | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,896 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 303d | 0xc1af…0dae3 fills | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,489 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 303d | 0x09fa…5b722 fills | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,257 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 303d | 0x42a2…d2a02 fills | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,861 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 303d | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,420 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 303d | uscavi | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,139 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 303d | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,180 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 303d | 0x42a2…d2a0 | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,081 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 303d | 7Ba4A8 | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,460 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 303d | 0xeb9d…e31b | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,045 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 303d | 0xeb9d…e31b | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,995 | +$55 +1.1% | 4 |
| 303d | hollyber | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | −$149 −15% | — |
| 303d | MistahFox | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyNo4¢ → 0¢ | $1,531 | −$1,531 −100% | 9 |
| 303d | MistahFox2 fills | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $23,810 | −$1,015 −4.3% | — |
| 303d | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$288 +2.9% | 4 | |
| 305d | anjin987 | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | −$858 −67% | — |
| 309d | MistahFox | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes24¢ → 100¢ | $3,377 | +$10,696 +317% | 10 |
| 310d | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | SellNo86¢ → 0¢ | $1,181 | +$1,181 +100% | — | |
| 310d | jacksonpark2 fills | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $2,376 | −$2,376 −100% | 4 |
| 310d | Worse-SnakebiteNew account | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $7,563 | +$9,225 +122% | 21 |
| 312d | anjin987 | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,782 | +$488 +27% | 4 |
| 315d | jjjtesty | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,229 | +$234 +19% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 achieves a daily high price greater than 6,920.34 during market hours by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.