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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +74 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 hits an all time high price during market hours after a winner is called in the 2024 US Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the election is called during market hours, this market will resolve based on the S&P 500 highest price during the remainder of that day's market hours. If the election is called after market hours, this market will resolve based on figures between market open and market close on the first trading day after the election is called. The winner will be considered "called" once the Associated Press declares a winner in this election. The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.