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Polymarket wallet 0x7e8ded44129596af12dbe31b30f5cca9854f0cb5 · on Polymarket since Nov 5, 2024 · also shown as Scratchy-Spiderling
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P500 all time high after election is called?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 123 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 340 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 409 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 340 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 78 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 263 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 550 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$125 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 717d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyNo12¢ | $40 |
| 717d | Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024? | SellYes17¢ | $40 |
| 718d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyNo41¢ | $32 |
| 718d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes42¢ | $32 |
| 718d | S&P500 all time high after election is called? | BuyNo81¢ | $100 |
| 718d | Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024? | BuyYes21¢ | $50 |
| 718d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting? | BuyYes17¢ | $10 |
| 718d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
| 718d | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BuyYes74¢ | $250 |
| 718d | Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | BuyNo74¢ | $250 |
| 718d | Kamala Harris wins a solid red state? | BuyYes23¢ | $125 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.