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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 3 | 100% | 0 pts | +73 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 27 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200d | Flimsy-FibreNew account | April 3 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,913 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 200d |  duderr2 fills | April 3 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,831 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 201d | ggggggggaeaze | April 3 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | +$6 +0.6% | 20 |
| 202d | Trustinghorse | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,998 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 202d |  ImJustKen | April 3 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | +$30 +2.1% | 20 |
| 202d |  Ahpo | April 3 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,654 | +$274 +17% | 22 |
| 202d |  Newsance | April 3 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,727 | +$584 +34% | 24 |
| 207d |  PredictionYogi2 fills | March 27 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,168 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
retina228 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC’s EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by SpaceX or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting. A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market’s timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe. The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for April 3 means the market gives it about 100%.