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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Piastri | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrea Antonelli | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jack Doohan | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alex Albon | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hülkenberg | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509d | EVplusrebate | Max Verstappen | SellNo>99¢ | $1,498 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 509d | hg8w2g | Max Verstappen | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 509d | Predictandbreathe | Oscar Piastri | SellYes>99¢ | $5,795 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 509d |  318798 | Oscar Piastri | SellYes>99¢ | $4,540 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 509d |  UwO2 fills | Oscar Piastri | SellYes>99¢ | $5,161 | −$26 −0.5% | — |
| 509d | QMG-CORE | Oscar Piastri | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 509d |  MechaHitlah | Oscar Piastri | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,110 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 509d |  StudyPrediction | Oscar Piastri | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,810 | +$28 +1.0% | 4 |
| 509d | Jedi008 | Max Verstappen | SellNo>99¢ | $1,885 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 509d | 318798 | Oscar Piastri | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,302 | +$147 +11% | 4 |
| 509d | 025d | Oscar Piastri | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,251 | +$29 +2.3% | 4 |
| 509d | S-Works2 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $71,256 | +$9,494 +13% | 4 |
| 509d | 025d | Lando Norris | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,078 | +$22 +1.1% | 4 |
| 509d |  gamblingdebt2 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $17,319 | +$2,147 +12% | 4 |
| 509d | SaylorMoon | Max Verstappen | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,612 | +$295 +6.4% | 4 |
| 509d | JosephstAll-in | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,747 | −$1,747 −100% | 4 |
| 509d | Arid-Hurdle2 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,798 | +$51 +0.7% | 4 |
| 509d | Arid-Hurdle | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,759 | +$27 +1.5% | 4 |
| 509d | gamblingdebt | Lando Norris | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $2,935 | +$1,141 +39% | 4 |
| 509d | hg8w2g | Lando Norris | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $3,802 | +$1,553 +41% | 4 |
| 509d |  Trapital | Max Verstappen | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,408 | +$192 +14% | 4 |
| 509d | Yureth | Lando Norris | SellYes30¢ → 0¢ | $16,201 | +$16,201 +100% | — |
| 509d | Draemor | Lando Norris | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $37,804 | +$16,202 +43% | 14 |
| 509d | Indolent-Roar | Oscar Piastri | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $2,357 | +$1,778 +75% | 14 |
| 509d |  Simbaaaa | George Russell | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$26 +1.1% | 4 |
| 509d | affs207912 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,077 | +$356 +17% | 8 |
| 510d | UwO | George Russell | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$124 +1.2% | 4 |
| 510d | Snoorrason2 fills | Jack Doohan | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 510d | bigdicknick | Max Verstappen | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,270 | +$298 +23% | 9 |
| 510d | Nexira | Lando Norris | SellYes37¢ → 0¢ | $12,770 | +$12,770 +100% | — |
| 510d | Syntar | Lando Norris | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $22,090 | +$12,426 +56% | 9 |
| 511d | xbsuwrkfmdl372 fills | Yuki Tsunoda | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,488 | +$12 +0.3% | 4 |
| 512d |  Endgametheory | Max Verstappen | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,404 | −$396 −28% | — |
| 512d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | Pierre Gasly | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 512d | affs20791 | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,760 | +$65 +3.7% | 4 |
| 513d | AJM96 | Lando Norris | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $5,100 | −$5,100 −100% | 6 |
| 513d | AJM96 | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $3,074 | −$3,074 −100% | 6 |
| 514d | Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Max Verstappen | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,111 | −$1,111 −100% | 6 |
PRESIDENTEJavierMilei200 sharesThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix scheduled for June 1, 2025. If the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after July 1, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Oscar Piastri means the market gives it about 100%.