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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15-20% | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <10% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10-15% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-25% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25-30% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >30% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Unknown | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 589d | 15-20% | SellYes>99¢ | $1,994 | −$6 −0.3% | — | |
| 589d | rulki | 15-20% | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,214 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 590d | Valdris | 15-20% | BuyYes>99¢ | $36,143 | +$72 +0.2% | 10 |
| 590d | Caelvior | 25-30% | SellNo>99¢ | $51,800 | −$52 −0.1% | — |
| 590d | Caelvior | 25-30% | BuyNo>99¢ | $51,800 | +$52 +0.1% | 10 |
| 592d | DanDee | 15-20% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,178 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 592d | brokeaddict | 15-20% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,599 | −$12 −0.8% | — |
| 592d | Liquidifier | <10% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,965 | +$6 +0.3% | 10 |
| 593d | Astraevor | <10% | BuyNo>99¢ | $73,930 | +$222 +0.3% | 10 |
| 595d | 15-20% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,806 | −$23 −0.8% | — | |
| 595d | Zythelion | 15-20% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $34,329 | +$207 +0.6% | 10 |
| 596d | jiad | <10% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,003 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 596d | Klausimausi | 15-20% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | −$9 −0.9% | — |
| 596d | Evoquiel-901 | 15-20% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $29,124 | +$176 +0.6% | 10 |
| 597d | Lyvendra | 10-15% | BuyNo>99¢ | $69,699 | +$140 +0.2% | 10 |
| 600d | Bettingisfun | 15-20% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,907 | +$24 +0.8% | 10 |
| 600d | 15-20% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,192 | −$31 −1.4% | — | |
| 601d | Predictandbreathe | 15-20% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,166 | −$133 −1.3% | — |
| 601d | Vaedrix | 20-25% | BuyNo>99¢ | $72,545 | +$73 +0.1% | 10 |
| 602d | 15-20% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,974 | −$26 −1.3% | — | |
| 602d | curie | 15-20% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,547 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 602d | unoo | >30% | SellNo>99¢ | $4,144 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 603d | wiatr | >30% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,050 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 604d | 15-20% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,781 | +$13 +0.7% | 10 | |
| 604d | 15-20% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,201 | −$17 −1.4% | — | |
| 605d | 10-15% | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $4,616 | −$1,668 −36% | — | |
| 606d | 15-20% | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $10,368 | −$315 −3.0% | — | |
| 606d | yoyo753 | 15-20% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,327 | −$41 −1.2% | — |
| 606d | 15-20% | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $14,188 | +$1,189 +8.4% | 10 | |
| 607d | 0x4540D662B6EC203903785BaF58E3c644B1c21E6 | 15-20% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,295 | +$15 +1.2% | 10 |
| 607d | yoyo753 | 15-20% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$18 +1.2% | 10 |
| 607d | janonym | 15-20% | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,515 | −$54 −3.6% | — |
| 607d | 15-20% | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $8,900 | +$408 +4.6% | 10 | |
| 607d | 321123 | 15-20% | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,434 | +$29 +2.0% | 10 |
| 607d | SimSalabim | 15-20% | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | +$23 +2.2% | 10 |
| 607d | 15-20% | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | +$22 +2.1% | 10 | |
| 607d | 10-15% | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$32 +3.1% | 10 | |
| 607d | 10-15% | SellYes51¢ → 0¢ | $1,047 | +$1,047 +100% | — | |
| 607d | Siziriv | 10-15% | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,812 | +$1,607 +89% | 10 |
| 607d | Siziriv | 15-20% | BuyNo47¢ → 0¢ | $1,607 | −$1,607 −100% | 10 |
| 607d | Siziriv | 20-25% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,412 | +$7 +0.2% | 10 |
| 607d | Kapii3 fills | 10-15% | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $5,887 | −$5,887 −100% | 12 |
| 608d | cigarettes | >30% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,658 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 608d | cigarettes4 fills | 25-30% | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,964 | +$16 +0.3% | 10 |
| 608d | cigarettes6 fills | <10% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,113 | +$87 +1.0% | 10 |
| 608d | cigarettes6 fills | 20-25% | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,888 | +$261 +2.9% | 10 |
| 609d | 15-20% | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $2,993 | −$2,449 −82% | — | |
| 609d | Sonner | >30% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,348 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 609d | KennyM | 10-15% | SellYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,039 | +$1,039 +100% | — |
| 610d | Kapii | 10-15% | SellYes37¢ → 0¢ | $1,666 | +$1,666 +100% | — |
| 610d | cigarettes2 fills | 10-15% | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $2,420 | +$1,421 +59% | 12 |
| 610d | 15-20% | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $2,134 | +$1,364 +64% | 15 | |
| 610d | unoo | >30% | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,144 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 611d | lot-208 | >30% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,855 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 611d | 15-20% | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $3,894 | +$2,434 +63% | 12 | |
| 611d | atomowka | >30% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,638 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 611d | lava-lava | 10-15% | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $1,368 | −$1,368 −100% | 13 |
| 612d | gural | >30% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,587 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 612d | wiatr | >30% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,050 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 612d | gad | >30% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,121 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
This is a market on the percentage of votes received by the SPD in the upcoming German election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 15-20% means the market gives it about 100%.