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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +69 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200d | FlyingPlaty | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $6,534 | +$13 +0.2% | 4 |
| 200d | amon2b | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,348 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 200d |  NotMasterFan | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $4,624 | +$47 +1.0% | 4 |
| 200d |  haerder | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$14 +1.0% | 4 |
| 200d | cryptothan4 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | BuyUp40¢ → 100¢ | $9,339 | +$13,755 +147% | 10 |
| 200d | sdhyky2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | BuyDown53¢ → 0¢ | $4,238 | −$4,238 −100% | 6 |
| 200d | sdhyky | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | SellDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | +$1,000 +100% | — |
| 201d | Partial-Cytokine | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | SellDown60¢ → 0¢ | $1,265 | +$1,265 +100% | — |
| 201d | cryptothan3 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | BuyDown62¢ → 0¢ | $8,624 | −$8,624 −100% | 6 |
| 201d | imgone | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | BuyUp34¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$2,173 +193% | 9 |
| 202d | mini-man | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | BuyDown67¢ → 0¢ | $4,041 | −$4,041 −100% | 9 |
| 202d | Newshound | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | BuyDown66¢ → 0¢ | $3,527 | −$3,527 −100% | 9 |
| 202d | Rlafte | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | BuyDown62¢ → 0¢ | $1,160 | −$1,160 −100% | 9 |
| 203d | Hexagon555 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | BuyUp44¢ → 100¢ | $1,496 | +$1,904 +127% | 6 |
| 203d | cryptothan | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | SellUp42¢ → 100¢ | $2,693 | −$3,699 −137% | — |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on April 6 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on April 6 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.