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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 263d | Xgs | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,197 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | RME123 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,100 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | jrich08 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,154 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | dsfg33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,019 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 263d |  pandafam2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $16,696 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | third-eye | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown>99¢ | $41,333 | +$41 +0.1% | 4 |
| 263d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $23,056 | −$27 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | ps5 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,130 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | carlos-0922 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown100¢ | $1,036 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 263d | nerner | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,186 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 263d |  BettingQuant | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,585 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | harrypotterr3 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown93¢ → 100¢ | $12,054 | −$971 −8.1% | — |
| 263d | Howtopickaname2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown99¢ → 100¢ | $4,646 | −$51 −1.1% | — |
| 263d | PRO.phet | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,299 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly4 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown91¢ → 100¢ | $40,518 | +$3,794 +9.4% | 5 |
| 263d | Xgs | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $4,775 | +$48 +1.0% | 4 |
| 263d | harrypotterr5 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $9,655 | +$598 +6.2% | 6 |
| 263d | JuniorB | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,583 | +$16 +1.0% | 4 |
| 263d | xenonliu | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $5,178 | +$52 +1.0% | 4 |
| 263d | nok12 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $4,423 | +$535 +12% | 6 |
| 263d | 9CDD | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $2,743 | +$63 +2.3% | 5 |
| 263d | nerner | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $2,090 | +$99 +4.7% | 5 |
| 263d |  Snow-White6 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown92¢ → 100¢ | $28,354 | +$2,462 +8.7% | 6 |
| 263d |  50StackSteve | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $5,469 | +$363 +6.6% | 6 |
| 263d | Howtopickaname2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown85¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$697 +17% | 6 |
| 263d | BettingQuant3 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown81¢ → 100¢ | $3,351 | +$767 +23% | 7 |
| 263d | 8E0fE2968012D3F61-171650045011 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | SellUp11¢ → 0¢ | $1,552 | +$1,552 +100% | — |
| 263d | Snow-White | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown90¢ → 100¢ | $2,244 | −$245 −11% | — |
| 264d | randomlypunting | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$70 +3.5% | 5 |
| 264d | Corrupt-Lark2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown96¢ → 100¢ | $6,492 | +$272 +4.2% | 6 |
| 264d |  nevneven | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown93¢ → 100¢ | $2,037 | −$158 −7.8% | — |
| 264d |  ComingBack3 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $7,200 | +$177 +2.5% | 5 |
| 264d | wuerjiu | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $3,444 | +$107 +3.1% | 5 |
| 264d | Chubby-Telephone | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$200 +5.7% | 5 |
| 264d | cryptothan2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | SellUp18¢ → 0¢ | $4,098 | +$4,098 +100% | — |
| 264d | cryptothan | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BuyUp21¢ → 0¢ | $1,308 | −$1,308 −100% | 13 |
| 264d | ultraaxiom | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown79¢ → 100¢ | $1,383 | −$367 −27% | — |
| 264d | sbimbg | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | SellDown80¢ → 100¢ | $1,091 | −$273 −25% | — |
| 264d | ultraaxiom | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown81¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$265 +24% | 7 |
| 265d | jrich08 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown74¢ → 100¢ | $1,597 | +$559 +35% | 8 |
| 265d | sbimbg | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown59¢ → 100¢ | $4,283 | +$2,990 +70% | 9 |
Snow-White2,782 shares
AtlasCapital6 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on February 2 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on February 2 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.