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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +74 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 259d | Fuzzy-Peace | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $5,778 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 259d | RME123 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,150 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 259d |  LinaBell-wealthy-edition | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,082 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 259d |  UwO | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $9,109 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 259d | asianbbc | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,532 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 259d | zmmtest1 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,041 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 259d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $20,379 | +$22 +0.1% | 4 |
| 259d |  NotMasterFan | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 259d | DegenEriccro2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $3,021 | +$102 +3.4% | 5 |
| 259d | Sfffd | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 259d | xenonliu | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 259d | harrypotterr4 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $8,427 | +$344 +4.1% | 5 |
| 259d | UwO | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $9,020 | +$98 +1.1% | 4 |
| 259d | sdhyky | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 5 |
| 259d | Nonstop-Bulk | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,889 | +$99 +5.3% | 5 |
| 259d | LinaBell-wealthy-edition | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | +$54 +5.3% | 5 |
| 259d | Fuzzy-Peace | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $4,750 | +$402 +8.5% | 6 |
| 259d | jrich08 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp74¢ → 100¢ | $1,732 | +$618 +36% | 11 |
| 259d | tepa | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp73¢ → 100¢ | $7,574 | +$2,806 +37% | 11 |
| 259d | T1canwin | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp73¢ → 100¢ | $9,498 | +$3,519 +37% | 11 |
| 259d | Bouncy-Raid | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp72¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | +$395 +38% | 14 |
| 259d | sejongdaewang | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp61¢ → 100¢ | $1,557 | +$995 +64% | 12 |
| 260d | cryptothan | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp26¢ → 100¢ | $1,216 | +$3,445 +283% | 13 |
| 260d |  DOCW | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | SellDown78¢ → 0¢ | $1,701 | +$1,701 +100% | — |
| 260d |  Snow-White | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | BuyDown84¢ → 0¢ | $2,238 | −$2,238 −100% | 8 |
| 260d | DOCW | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | BuyDown74¢ → 0¢ | $1,554 | −$1,554 −100% | 11 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on February 6 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on February 6 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.