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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −59 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 273d | Predictandbreathe | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,628 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | third-eye2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | BuyDown>99¢ | $43,907 | +$51 +0.1% | 4 |
| 273d | CitadelAdvisorsLLC | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,730 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 273d | olabandola2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $2,098 | +$42 +2.0% | 5 |
| 273d | nbab | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,113 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 273d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $23,592 | +$644 +2.7% | 5 | |
| 273d | N3D12 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | SellDown99¢ → 100¢ | $4,165 | −$36 −0.9% | — |
| 273d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $12,214 | +$116 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 273d | N3D1 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $2,087 | +$13 +0.6% | 4 |
| 273d | oipjgcxrf2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $19,456 | +$271 +1.4% | 4 |
| 273d | kodeoed | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $3,237 | +$33 +1.0% | 4 |
| 273d | 1974cryptorean | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,427 | +$14 +1.0% | 4 |
| 273d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | SellDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,756 | −$29 −1.6% | — | |
| 273d | xenonliu | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $2,387 | +$43 +1.8% | 4 |
| 273d | sdhyky | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $2,099 | +$76 +3.6% | 5 |
| 273d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $3,020 | +$55 +1.8% | 4 | |
| 273d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $8,713 | +$183 +2.1% | 5 | |
| 273d | chiplis-994 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | SellDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 273d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,748 | +$36 +2.0% | 5 | |
| 273d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | BuyDown96¢ → 100¢ | $5,432 | +$223 +4.1% | 5 | |
| 274d | derfgdgr | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | BuyUp83¢ → 0¢ | $2,843 | −$2,843 −100% | 9 |
| 274d | fgthser | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | BuyUp66¢ → 0¢ | $1,980 | −$1,980 −100% | 12 |
| 274d | Occasional-Tilt | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | BuyDown40¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$1,499 +150% | 12 |
| 274d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $8,337 | +$258 +3.1% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on January 23 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on January 23 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.