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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207d | Partial-Cytokine | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,038 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 207d | blunderbot | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,914 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 207d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | SellUp>99¢ | $5,539 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 207d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,749 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 207d | sdhyky3 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | BuyUp44¢ → 100¢ | $15,023 | +$19,240 +128% | 12 |
| 207d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 207d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,462 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 207d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 207d | RME1232 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,454 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 207d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | BuyUp>99¢ | $13,202 | +$24 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 207d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,269 | −$5 −0.2% | — | |
| 207d | Thin-Print | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | SellUp>99¢ | $6,680 | −$20 −0.3% | — |
| 207d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,372 | +$16 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 207d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,936 | +$11 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 207d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,745 | −$16 −0.9% | — | |
| 207d | elysiian | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | +$12 +0.6% | 4 |
| 207d | blunderbot | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,505 | +$9 +0.6% | 4 |
| 207d | 0xe617…f2514 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $15,000 | +$1,469 +9.8% | 6 |
| 207d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,115 | +$32 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 207d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,841 | −$43 −1.1% | — | |
| 207d | Thin-Print3 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $16,643 | +$1,392 +8.4% | 6 |
| 207d | DegenEriccro | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,107 | +$22 +0.7% | 4 |
| 207d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $5,356 | +$88 +1.6% | 4 | |
| 207d | tc1g | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | SellUp74¢ → 100¢ | $1,836 | −$645 −35% | — |
| 207d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$1,574 +68% | 12 | |
| 207d | cryptothan2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | BuyUp40¢ → 100¢ | $5,263 | +$8,017 +152% | 12 |
| 207d | sdhyky4 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | BuyDown60¢ → 0¢ | $14,610 | −$14,610 −100% | 9 |
| 208d | sdhyky2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | SellUp38¢ → 100¢ | $11,540 | −$18,563 −161% | — |
| 208d | cryptothan | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | SellUp43¢ → 100¢ | $3,161 | −$4,174 −132% | — |
| 208d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | SellDown61¢ → 0¢ | $3,662 | +$3,662 +100% | — | |
| 208d | sdhyky3 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | SellDown62¢ → 0¢ | $13,409 | +$13,409 +100% | — |
| 208d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | SellUp39¢ → 100¢ | $7,896 | −$12,441 −158% | — | |
| 208d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | SellUp34¢ → 100¢ | $1,559 | −$2,996 −192% | — |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on March 30 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on March 30 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.