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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 170d | Incognitoo2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,554 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 170d |  davidslvk | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,262 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 170d |  CoinTrick | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 170d | xenonliu | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 170d |  largeleeks888 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $31,968 | +$32 +0.1% | 4 |
| 170d | twerk4hv | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,784 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 170d |  1kto1m | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
| 170d |  Gurupolimarket | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,055 | +$13 +0.4% | 4 |
| 170d | Xgs | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$7 +0.7% | 4 |
| 170d | PUERTOVALLERTA452 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 170d | 0xe617…f2513 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$128 +1.6% | 4 |
| 170d | Incognitoo | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,760 | +$36 +1.3% | 4 |
| 170d | GROUPJETSOLUTIONSS.R.O. | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,421 | +$18 +1.3% | 4 |
| 170d |  Shakeshilly | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $1,785 | +$392 +22% | 9 |
| 170d | sdhyky | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6? | BuyUp74¢ → 100¢ | $3,104 | +$1,097 +35% | 11 |
Danico200 shares
tefloniusmonk120 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on May 6 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on May 6 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.