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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $715 | 100% | +83 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $720 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $710 | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $700 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $705 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $725 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $730 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $735 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $690 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $695 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $685 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 177d |  TheUltimateNash69 | $700 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,248 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 177d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | $715 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,141 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on April 30?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $715 means the market gives it about 100%.