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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $770 | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $775 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $785 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $780 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $765 | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $800 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $795 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $790 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $750 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $755 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $760 | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73d | misha-d1 | $770 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 73d | cryptothan | $770 | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,458 | −$592 −41% | — |
| 73d | loveheng | $785 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,219 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
bjprolo12 sharesS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on August 11?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $770 means the market gives it about 100%.