| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 393 | 13¢ → 91¢ | $356 | +$305 +602% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 82 | 41¢ → 94¢ | $77 | +$43 +128% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 252d | No | 150 | 47¢ → 41¢ | $62 | −$9 −13% |
| Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP RankingsEnds in 85d | No | 50 | 25¢ → >99¢ | $50 | +$37 +299% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 8d | No | 50 | 44¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$26 +119% |
| Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 71d | No | 50 | 68¢ → 93¢ | $46 | +$12 +36% |
| Will Keith Riel win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?Ends in 5d | No | 50 | 60¢ → 86¢ | $43 | +$13 +43% |
| Will Auburn Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?Ends in 110d | No | 44 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $42 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 50 | 43¢ → 82¢ | $41 | +$19 +90% |
| Will Sudan join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 40 | 81¢ → 99¢ | $40 | +$7 +23% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 1h | Yes | 40 | 62¢ → 99¢ | $40 | +$15 +60% |
| Will Drake release a new album by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 50 | 57¢ → 79¢ | $39 | +$11 +38% |
| Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?Ends in 57d | No | 40 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $39 | +$3 +9.8% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 5d | Yes | 917 | 11¢ → 4¢ | $39 | −$61 −61% |
| Will Steve Martin win the next Devonport mayoral election?Ends in 6d | No | 50 | 61¢ → 70¢ | $35 | +$5 +15% |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?Ends in 41d | Yes | 150 | 42¢ → 23¢ | $34 | −$29 −46% |
| Will Gabriel Tardio reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?Ends in 200d | Yes | 50 | 67¢ → 67¢ | $33 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will CJ Klinger reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?Ends in 200d | Yes | 50 | 24¢ → 65¢ | $32 | +$20 +169% |
| Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?Ends in 6d | Yes | 50 | 57¢ → 62¢ | $31 | +$3 +8.8% |
| Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City?Ends in 14d | No | 100 | 57¢ → 30¢ | $30 | −$27 −47% |
| Will Agbu Kefas win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election?Ends in 108d | No | 140 | 46¢ → 21¢ | $29 | −$35 −55% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 71d | No | 38 | 44¢ → 75¢ | $28 | +$12 +69% |
| Will XRP reach $3.60 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 28 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $27 | +$1 +2.6% |
| Will Lionel Messi score 15+ goals during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window?Ends in 222d | No | 46 | 48¢ → 57¢ | $26 | +$4 +19% |
| Will Ahmed Aliyu win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election?Ends in 108d | No | 50 | 36¢ → 51¢ | $26 | +$8 +42% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 100 | 22¢ → 24¢ | $24 | +$3 +12% |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 200 | 12¢ → 12¢ | $24 | $0 0.0% |
| Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Ends in 38d | Yes | 40 | 69¢ → 57¢ | $23 | −$5 −17% |
| Will Kate Fahey reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?Ends in 200d | Yes | 50 | 36¢ → 41¢ | $21 | +$3 +14% |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 150 | 30¢ → 13¢ | $20 | −$26 −57% |
| Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window?Ends in 222d | No | 50 | 34¢ → 38¢ | $19 | +$2 +12% |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 436d | Yes | 50 | 60¢ → 38¢ | $19 | −$11 −38% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 20 | 79¢ → 92¢ | $18 | +$3 +16% |
| Will Brett Whiteley win the next Latrobe mayoral election?Ends in 6d | Yes | 27 | 42¢ → 69¢ | $18 | +$7 +64% |
| Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 5d | No | 50 | 34¢ → 33¢ | $16 | −$1 −4.4% |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 436d | Yes | 50 | 37¢ → 32¢ | $16 | −$3 −15% |
| Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?Ends in 6d | Yes | 50 | 36¢ → 31¢ | $15 | −$3 −15% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 20 | 58¢ → 75¢ | $15 | +$3 +28% |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?Ends in 161d | No | 50 | 44¢ → 28¢ | $14 | −$8 −35% |
| Will Chao Yi Wang qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?Ends in 200d | Yes | 50 | 18¢ → 27¢ | $13 | +$4 +47% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 45+ goals in the 2026-27 season?Ends in 252d | No | 19 | 77¢ → 64¢ | $12 | −$2 −17% |
| Will Andrei Daescu reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?Ends in 200d | Yes | 20 | 40¢ → 57¢ | $12 | +$4 +44% |
| Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | No | 50 | 62¢ → 22¢ | $11 | −$20 −64% |
| Will Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?Ends in 108d | Yes | 100 | 37¢ → 11¢ | $11 | −$26 −70% |
| Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?Ends in 54d | Yes | 50 | 43¢ → 22¢ | $11 | −$11 −50% |
| Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027?Ends in 161d | Yes | 50 | 54¢ → 21¢ | $10 | −$17 −62% |
| Will Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election?Ends in 6d | Yes | 15 | 67¢ → 68¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Kaitlyn Christian reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?Ends in 200d | Yes | 50 | 20¢ → 20¢ | $10 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 50 | 28¢ → 19¢ | $10 | −$5 −32% |
| Will Obafemi Hamzat win the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election?Ends in 108d | No | 50 | 27¢ → 19¢ | $9 | −$4 −31% |
| Will Marilyn Crawford win the 2026 Ajax mayoral election?Ends in 4d | No | 50 | 42¢ → 18¢ | $9 | −$12 −57% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 1d | Yes | 122 | 21¢ → 7¢ | $9 | −$17 −65% |
| Will Marítimo be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?Ends in 252d | Yes | 50 | 29¢ → 17¢ | $8 | −$6 −43% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 40+ goals in the 2026-27 season?Ends in 252d | Yes | 19 | 22¢ → 43¢ | $8 | +$4 +95% |
| Will Aldo Ruberto win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?Ends in 5d | Yes | 40 | 41¢ → 20¢ | $8 | −$9 −52% |
| Will Chloe Foster win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?Ends in 6d | No | 10 | 65¢ → 76¢ | $8 | +$1 +17% |
| Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 6d | No | 15 | 61¢ → 50¢ | $8 | −$2 −19% |
| Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?Ends in 5d | No | 20 | 46¢ → 37¢ | $7 | −$2 −21% |
| Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?Ends in 5d | No | 20 | 50¢ → 36¢ | $7 | −$3 −28% |
| Will Brooke Buckner qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?Ends in 200d | Yes | 50 | 18¢ → 14¢ | $7 | −$2 −25% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | No | 50 | 37¢ → 13¢ | $7 | −$12 −65% |
| Will Tyra Hurricane Black reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?Ends in 200d | Yes | 14 | 42¢ → 45¢ | $6 | +$0 +7.1% |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?Ends in 8d | Yes | 13 | 47¢ → 46¢ | $6 | −$0 −2.1% |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 100 | 17¢ → 5¢ | $5 | −$11 −67% |
| Will Lukáš Hájek be the next Mayor of Liberec?Ends ended | No | 50 | 49¢ → 10¢ | $5 | −$20 −81% |
| Will Leanne Raw win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?Ends in 6d | Yes | 50 | 25¢ → 10¢ | $5 | −$8 −62% |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Ends in 161d | No | 50 | 39¢ → 9¢ | $5 | −$15 −77% |
| Will Gord Krantz win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 9 | 45¢ → 51¢ | $4 | +$0 +12% |
| Will Biodun Ogundipe win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?Ends in 108d | Yes | 100 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $4 | +$0 +10% |
| Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?Ends in 38d | No | 100 | 18¢ → 4¢ | $4 | −$14 −76% |
| Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Ends in 72d | Yes | 73 | 53¢ → 6¢ | $4 | −$34 −89% |
| Will Serbia be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?Ends in 174d | Yes | 5 | 36¢ → 83¢ | $4 | +$2 +131% |
| Will the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?Ends in 87d | Yes | 40 | 34¢ → 10¢ | $4 | −$9 −70% |
| Will SNSD win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Ends ended | No | 100 | 45¢ → 4¢ | $4 | −$41 −91% |
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 50 | 24¢ → 8¢ | $4 | −$8 −66% |
| Will Andy Kim vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 71d | Yes | 41 | 14¢ → 8¢ | $3 | −$2 −44% |
| Will Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?Ends in 5d | No | 100 | 14¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$11 −79% |
| Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 20 | 89¢ → 14¢ | $3 | −$15 −84% |
| Will Anna Leigh Waters qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?Ends in 200d | No | 50 | 13¢ → 6¢ | $3 | −$4 −58% |
| Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 72d | Yes | 50 | 24¢ → 6¢ | $3 | −$9 −77% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 20 | 16¢ → 14¢ | $3 | −$1 −16% |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.00% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 85d | Yes | 50 | 20¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$8 −78% |
| Will Derrick Henry finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns?Ends in 97d | Yes | 20 | 7¢ → 10¢ | $2 | +$1 +44% |
| Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Ends in 71d | Yes | 50 | 17¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$7 −77% |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Georgia by November 30, 2026?Ends in 47d | Yes | 130 | 6¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$6 −77% |
| Will Ogboru Great Ovedje win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?Ends in 108d | Yes | 35 | 10¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$2 −51% |
| Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 10d | Yes | 50 | 23¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$10 −88% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 32 | 16¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$4 −73% |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Maine by November 30, 2026?Ends in 47d | Yes | 52 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$0 −13% |
| Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 10d | Yes | 50 | 15¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$6 −85% |
| Will Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec?Ends ended | Yes | 40 | 37¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$14 −93% |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 50 | 59¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$29 −97% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 37 | 21¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$7 −88% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 45 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$0 −15% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 20 | 50¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$9 −91% |
| Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 40 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $1 | +$1 +144% |
| ByteDance matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 10d | Yes | 50 | 13¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$6 −89% |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 20 | 35¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$6 −91% |
| Will Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?Ends in 228d | Yes | 4 | 43¢ → 16¢ | $1 | −$1 −63% |
| Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 10d | Yes | 50 | 27¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$13 −96% |
