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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $750 | 100% | +71 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| $745 | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $765 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $735 | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $740 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $770 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $720 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 130d | $750 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,103 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 130d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | $745 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,198 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 130d | $730 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,358 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 130d | win-win-win99 | $765 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,300 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 130d | $725 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,778 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 131d | Goldenpants93 | $750 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | +$147 +7.5% | 6 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 15?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $750 means the market gives it about 100%.