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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $735 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $725 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $720 | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $690 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $730 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $740 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $695 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $715 | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $710 | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $700 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $705 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 175d |  OraculumNobius | $720 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,498 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 175d | kodeoed | $730 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,216 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 175d |  VdeVolsa | $730 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,303 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 175d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | $735 | BuyNo>99¢ | $99,900 | +$100 +0.1% | 4 |
| 175d | orderfill | $695 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,208 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 176d | VdeVolsa | $720 | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$781 +76% | 12 |
| 176d | Tehgameguy2 fills | $690 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,820 | +$180 +3.1% | 5 |
MiHua100 shares
cyfra20 sharesS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 1?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $735 means the market gives it about 0%.