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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $735 | 100% | +81 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $740 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +21 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $745 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $710 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $750 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $715 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $720 | 100% | +8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 168d |  OraculumNobius | $735 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,075 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 168d | OraculumNobius | $730 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,814 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 168d | OraculumNobius | $750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 168d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | $735 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,255 | +$16 +0.5% | 4 |
| 168d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | $745 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 168d |  olegs | $710 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 168d | cryptothan | $735 | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,312 | −$488 −37% | — |
apein100 shares
Lavincey78 sharesS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 8?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $735 means the market gives it about 100%.