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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elden Ring | 100% | +93 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Stardew Valley | 0% | −80 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Baldur's Gate 3 | 0% | −15 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| DOTA 2 | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| No Man's Sky | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 662d |  syncope | Elden Ring | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 662d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente3 fills | Elden Ring | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,983 | +$17 +0.1% | 4 |
| 662d | tf2 | Elden Ring | BuyYes>99¢ | $136,723 | +$137 +0.1% | 4 |
| 662d |  Vespuccii | Elden Ring | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,015 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 662d |  Infringe | Elden Ring | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,931 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 662d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Elden Ring | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,174 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 662d |  Erasmus. | Elden Ring | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 662d | LlamaEnjoyer | No Man's Sky | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,150 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 662d | longtern | No Man's Sky | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,843 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 662d |  Eridpnc2 fills | No Man's Sky | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,209 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 662d | CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | No Man's Sky | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 662d | Ordon | Stardew Valley | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $39,328 | +$803 +2.0% | 4 |
| 670d |  missadventure | Stardew Valley | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $1,061 | −$1,061 −100% | 4 |
This is a negrisk market group over which game will win Labor of Love in the 2024 Steam Awards.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Elden Ring means the market gives it about 100%.