Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $20M | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 70d |
| $50M | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 70d |
| $100M | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 70d |
| $200M | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 70d |
| $300M | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 70d |
| $400M | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 70d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 253d | rovad | $50M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,764 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 253d | rovad | $100M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,456 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 253d | Chuks | $50M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,107 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 253d |  youngsoros | $50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,409 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 253d | hozierfozier | $50M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,457 | +$10 +0.7% | 2 |
| 253d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | $20M | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,797 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 253d |  leleko2k3 fills | $50M | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,149 | +$328 +6.4% | 2 |
| 253d | deepmouse | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,300 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 253d | irmants | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 253d |  PapaCurio | $20M | BuyYes100¢ | $1,310 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 253d | lontou | $20M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,870 | +$35 +0.7% | 2 |
| 253d | Ready-Duckling | $50M | SellNo55¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | −$903 −82% | — |
| 253d | leleko2k | $20M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,414 | +$30 +2.1% | 2 |
| 254d | agliooglio | $100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,038 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 254d | rusgreat | $20M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,045 | +$42 +2.0% | 2 |
| 254d |  DonSpyro | $100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,674 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 254d | rusgreat | $400M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,742 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 254d | rusgreat | $200M | BuyNo100¢ | $1,371 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 254d | Tapkavpol | $20M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$14 +1.4% | 2 |
| 254d | 1881aa | $20M | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,586 | −$31 −1.9% | — |
| 254d |  inrvoice | $100M | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$97 −9.6% | — |
| 254d | inrvoice | $200M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 254d |  xart | $50M | SellNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,293 | −$696 −54% | — |
| 254d | Adelius | $300M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,442 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 254d | Xyu | $50M | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,518 | −$1,131 −45% | — |
| 254d | 0x4f5c…bb60 | $100M | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,621 | +$191 +5.3% | 2 |
| 254d | rittterditter | $300M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,430 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 254d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | $300M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,579 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 255d | jimmyhasballs2 fills | $20M | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$893 +11% | 2 |
| 255d | soganyok | $20M | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,507 | +$293 +19% | 2 |
| 255d | fftvv | $200M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,308 | +$37 +1.1% | 2 |
| 255d | xart | $50M | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $2,709 | +$2,239 +83% | 2 |
| 256d | TommyKFCV50 | $20M | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,367 | +$137 +10.0% | 2 |
| 257d |  alanhutton | $100M | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | +$357 +27% | 2 |
| 257d | tamaraaa | $300M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,464 | +$11 +0.8% | 2 |
roadmapper20 shares
d1zup1,359 shares
Romanson001,014 shares
sabosscoin577 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Superform's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Superform (https://x.com/superformxyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $20M means the market gives it about 100%.