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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 452d | R12234 | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,100 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 452d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,035 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 452d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,248 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 452d |  sigh | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,016 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 452d | Xaci | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,892 | +$324 +11% | 20 |
| 453d | chayanani | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15? | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,424 | −$355 −25% | — |
| 454d | RS2004 | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15? | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$484 +39% | 20 |
EfraimDiveroli360 shares
RepublicOfChina125 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Thailand and Cambodia between July 24, and August 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Thailand and Cambodia, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Thailand and Cambodia has been reached will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.