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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 100% | +94 pts | 0 pts | 95¢ · 100¢ (5¢) | — | ended |
| Ansem | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| threadguy | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Malcolm | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Frank Degods | 0% | −22 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bitboy | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| based16z | 0% | −38 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bryce Hall | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| rasmr | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 718d | VvVv | Bitboy | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,191 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 718d | VvVv | based16z | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,883 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 718d | VvVv | Other | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 718d |  ImJustKen | Other | BuyYes100¢ | $1,158 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 718d |  Anjun | Bryce Hall | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,536 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 719d |  Pidor🐓 | Frank Degods | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | +$26 +2.0% | 4 |
| 719d | deadmoney | based16z | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,597 | +$425 +27% | 4 |
| 719d | Anjun | Other | BuyNo91¢ → 0¢ | $1,633 | −$1,633 −100% | 4 |
| 719d |  truthteller | Ansem | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,348 | −$452 −13% | — |
| 719d | truthteller | Frank Degods | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,805 | −$423 −23% | — |
| 719d | ImJustKen | Bryce Hall | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $14,418 | +$1,663 +12% | 4 |
| 720d | Pidor🐓 | Frank Degods | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,175 | −$325 −15% | — |
| 720d | ImJustKen | Other | BuyNo94¢ → 0¢ | $6,720 | −$6,720 −100% | 5 |
| 721d | Rough-Specialty | threadguy | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,558 | −$212 −14% | — |
This is a negrisk group over which individual will take the most winnings from The House Poker Night, scheduled to take place on November 3, 2024 https://x.com/notthreadguy/status/1850328618322280637
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Other means the market gives it about 100%.