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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 99% | — | +1 pts | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | in 94d |
| Tyler Shough | 37% | +9 pts | +3 pts | 6¢ · 68¢ (62¢) | — | in 94d |
| Kirk Cousins | 36% | −4 pts | −16 pts | 18¢ · 54¢ (36¢) | — | in 94d |
| Nick Mullens | 4% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 94d |
| Sam Howell | 3% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 94d |
| Bryce Young | 40% | 0 pts | +4 pts | <1¢ · 79¢ (79¢) | — | in 94d |
| Jake Browning | 4% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | in 94d |
| Ty Simpson | 25% | 0 pts | +2 pts | 1¢ · 50¢ (49¢) | — | in 94d |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 94d |
| Jayden Daniels | 9% | — | −1 pts | 1¢ · 17¢ (16¢) | — | in 94d |
| Drake Maye | 50% | 0 pts | −10 pts | 1¢ · >99¢ (99¢) | — | in 94d |
| Trevor Lawrence | 69% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 52¢ · 86¢ (34¢) | — | in 94d |
| Carson Beck | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 94d |
| Shedeur Sanders | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 94d |
| Dak Prescott | 66% | — | — | 45¢ · 86¢ (41¢) | — | in 94d |
| Justin Fields | 4% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | in 94d |
| Tommy DeVito | 49% | +1 pts | +9 pts | 1¢ · 97¢ (96¢) | — | in 94d |
| Tyson Bagent | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 94d |
| Anthony Richardson Sr. | 4% | — | — | 2¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 94d |
| Mac Jones | 5% | — | — | 1¢ · 9¢ (8¢) | — | in 94d |
| Lamar Jackson | 50% | — | −1 pts | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 94d |
| Fernando Mendoza | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 8¢ (7¢) | — | in 94d |
| Patrick Mahomes | 83% | — | +32 pts | 67¢ · 98¢ (31¢) | — | in 94d |
| Marcus Mariota | 4% | 0 pts | −11 pts | 1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | in 94d |
| Baker Mayfield | 6% | — | — | 1¢ · 11¢ (10¢) | — | in 94d |
| Jarrett Stidham | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 94d |
| J.J. McCarthy | 2% | — | −9 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | — | in 94d |
| Brock Purdy | 87% | — | — | 75¢ · 99¢ (24¢) | — | in 94d |
| Jaxson Dart | 3% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 94d |
| C.J. Stroud | 26% | — | +13 pts | 1¢ · 50¢ (49¢) | — | in 94d |
| Cam Ward | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | in 94d |
| Jared Goff | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 94d |
| Aaron Rodgers | 50% | — | +1 pts | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 94d |
| Bo Nix | 51% | — | — | 3¢ · 99¢ (96¢) | — | in 94d |
| Justin Herbert | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 94d |
| Joe Flacco | 3% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | $58.3 | in 94d |
| Caleb Williams | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 94d |
| Daniel Jones | 48% | −2 pts | +35 pts | 1¢ · 95¢ (94¢) | — | in 94d |
| Joe Burrow | 75% | — | — | 50¢ · 99¢ (49¢) | — | in 94d |
| Jameis Winston | 48% | −2 pts | +35 pts | 2¢ · 94¢ (92¢) | — | in 94d |
| Jalen Hurts | 5% | — | −46 pts | 1¢ · 8¢ (7¢) | — | in 94d |
| Matthew Stafford | 48% | −2 pts | +3 pts | 1¢ · 94¢ (93¢) | — | in 94d |
| Kyler Murray | 50% | — | +3 pts | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 94d |
| Malik Willis | 50% | — | +2 pts | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 94d |
| Jordan Love | 50% | — | +2 pts | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 94d |
| Sam Darnold | 50% | — | +37 pts | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 94d |
| Geno Smith | 50% | — | +37 pts | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 94d |
| Jacoby Brissett | 50% | — | +31 pts | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 94d |
| Deshaun Watson | 50% | — | +25 pts | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 94d |
| Michael Penix Jr. | 50% | — | +37 pts | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 94d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named quarterback finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season (Weeks 1 through 18) ranked among the top 12 quarterbacks by total fantasy points under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. Otherwise, that market will resolve to "No". Only regular-season games count; postseason (playoff) games are excluded. If two or more quarterbacks are tied such that more than 12 would qualify for the top 12, the tie will be broken by higher fantasy points per game average for the 2026 NFL regular season, and if a tie still persists, by last name in alphabetical order, so that exactly 12 quarterbacks are classified as top 12. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the rankings cannot be determined within this timeframe, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official season-total statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 99¢ for Josh Allen means the market gives it about 99%.