| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by March 31?Ends in 159d | No | 136 | 88¢ → 81¢ | $109 | −$10 −8.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 25?Ends in 1d | No | 120 | 85¢ → 83¢ | $100 | −$2 −2.4% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?Ends in 4d | No | 100 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $92 | +$3 +3.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | Yes | 201 | 47¢ → 42¢ | $83 | −$11 −12% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 100 | 82¢ → 81¢ | $81 | −$2 −1.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Ends in 11d | No | 100 | 81¢ → 80¢ | $80 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026?Ends in 159d | No | 100 | 81¢ → 79¢ | $79 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?Ends in 36d | Yes | 234 | 32¢ → 34¢ | $78 | +$4 +4.7% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 98 | 71¢ → 79¢ | $77 | +$8 +11% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 81¢ → 77¢ | $77 | −$4 −5.5% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | No | 96 | 77¢ → 80¢ | $76 | +$2 +3.2% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 301 | 29¢ → 25¢ | $76 | −$11 −13% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 1d | No | 600 | 14¢ → 13¢ | $75 | −$9 −11% |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | Yes | 85 | 93¢ → 85¢ | $73 | −$6 −7.7% |
| Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 300 | 29¢ → 24¢ | $71 | −$17 −19% |
| Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 89d | No | 81 | 91¢ → 87¢ | $70 | −$4 −4.8% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | Yes | 237 | 33¢ → 30¢ | $70 | −$8 −11% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 69d | Yamal | 274 | 27¢ → 26¢ | $70 | −$4 −5.6% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 200 | 37¢ → 35¢ | $70 | −$4 −4.8% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-07 House election by 3%-6%?Ends in 11d | No | 81 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $64 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 40%-45%?Ends in 11d | No | 80 | 78¢ → 77¢ | $62 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Ends in 11d | No | 80 | 82¢ → 76¢ | $60 | −$5 −7.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 11d | No | 79 | 78¢ → 76¢ | $60 | −$2 −2.6% |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Ends in 81d | Yes | 81 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $59 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 80 | 80¢ → 73¢ | $59 | −$5 −8.0% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 160 | 45¢ → 37¢ | $58 | −$14 −19% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 11d | No | 80 | 76¢ → 73¢ | $58 | −$3 −4.6% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Ousmane Dembélé or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to finish higher?Ends in 69d | Kvaratskhelia | 80 | 73¢ → 71¢ | $56 | −$2 −3.4% |
| Will Jodie Wickens win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 1d | No | 68 | 85¢ → 80¢ | $54 | −$3 −5.9% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October?Ends in 18d | No | 85 | 71¢ → 64¢ | $54 | −$6 −11% |
| Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $6.00T and $6.50T at the end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 61 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $53 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will Teleflex (TFX) beat quarterly earnings?Ends ended | No | 76 | 34¢ → 70¢ | $53 | +$27 +104% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 53¢ → 51¢ | $51 | −$3 −4.7% |
| Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 6.5% to 7.5%?Ends in 5d | No | 80 | 77¢ → 63¢ | $50 | −$11 −18% |
| Will PPI YoY be 6.5% in October?Ends in 21d | No | 60 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $50 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 55 | 37¢ → 90¢ | $50 | +$29 +143% |
| Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 55 | 36¢ → 90¢ | $50 | +$30 +150% |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $21M and $22.5M?Ends in 2d | No | 80 | 83¢ → 60¢ | $48 | −$18 −28% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 25?Ends in 1d | No | 65 | 77¢ → 73¢ | $47 | −$3 −5.2% |
| Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 4d | No | 50 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $46 | +$3 +6.5% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 11d | No | 62 | 78¢ → 74¢ | $46 | −$2 −5.1% |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 51 | 91¢ → 88¢ | $45 | −$2 −3.8% |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 51 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $44 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 25?Ends in 1d | No | 78 | 60¢ → 56¢ | $43 | −$4 −7.5% |
| Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 79 | 56¢ → 55¢ | $43 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 135 | 32¢ → 32¢ | $43 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 6%-9%?Ends in 11d | No | 51 | 90¢ → 82¢ | $42 | −$4 −9.4% |
| Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?Ends in 159d | Yes | 60 | 74¢ → 69¢ | $41 | −$3 −6.8% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 101 | 42¢ → 41¢ | $41 | −$2 −3.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 35%-40%?Ends in 11d | No | 49 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $40 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Valantis FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 45 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $38 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 22?Ends ended | No | 39 | 72¢ → 98¢ | $38 | +$10 +36% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 24?Ends in 2h | No | 81 | 37¢ → 45¢ | $36 | +$6 +20% |
| Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 50 | 74¢ → 70¢ | $35 | −$2 −6.1% |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 331 | 14¢ → 11¢ | $35 | −$12 −25% |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11.5B by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 35 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $32 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 50 | 71¢ → 64¢ | $32 | −$4 −11% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 65%-70%?Ends in 11d | No | 40 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $32 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 201 | 16¢ → 16¢ | $31 | −$1 −3.2% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 80 | 37¢ → 39¢ | $31 | +$1 +4.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 24?Ends in 2h | No | 60 | 54¢ → 50¢ | $30 | −$2 −7.4% |
| Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Ends in 204d | Yes | 41 | 76¢ → 73¢ | $30 | −$1 −4.6% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 0%-5%?Ends in 11d | No | 35 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $30 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Frances Tiafoe Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 34 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $29 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 80 | 45¢ → 36¢ | $28 | −$8 −21% |
| Will "Rose" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 35 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $27 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will "Ink" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 200 | 24¢ → 14¢ | $27 | −$21 −44% |
| Will Together win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 31 | 89¢ → 86¢ | $27 | −$1 −3.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 24?Ends in 2h | No | 31 | 88¢ → 85¢ | $26 | −$1 −3.6% |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 50 | 77¢ → 52¢ | $26 | −$13 −32% |
| Will Yashar win 24-25 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | No | 31 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $26 | −$1 −3.5% |
| Will McKenna Grace be the live-action Gwen Stacy?Ends in 433d | Yes | 166 | 18¢ → 16¢ | $26 | −$4 −14% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 35%-40%?Ends in 11d | No | 30 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $26 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Milan reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?Ends in 147d | No | 41 | 74¢ → 62¢ | $25 | −$5 −16% |
| Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Ends ended | Yes | 60 | 58¢ → 43¢ | $25 | −$9 −27% |
| Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $25 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 24% to 26%?Ends in 4d | Yes | 41 | 89¢ → 61¢ | $25 | −$11 −31% |
| Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?Ends in 250d | Yes | 44 | 55¢ → 56¢ | $25 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Ends in 2h | Yes | 50 | 49¢ → 50¢ | $25 | +$0 +1.0% |
| ChatGPT Full Outage by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 31 | 76¢ → 79¢ | $25 | +$1 +4.2% |
| Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 101 | 25¢ → 24¢ | $25 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 11d | No | 31 | 79¢ → 75¢ | $23 | −$1 −5.7% |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $484,000 and $497,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 449 | 16¢ → 5¢ | $22 | −$49 −69% |
| Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 51 | 75¢ → 43¢ | $22 | −$17 −43% |
| Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | Yes | 30 | 71¢ → 70¢ | $21 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 25?Ends in 1d | No | 40 | 60¢ → 52¢ | $21 | −$3 −13% |
| Will Mitchell Marner record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?Ends in 188d | Yes | 30 | 70¢ → 68¢ | $20 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 80 | 28¢ → 25¢ | $20 | −$3 −13% |
| Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?Ends ended | No | 30 | 68¢ → 65¢ | $19 | −$1 −5.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 24?Ends in 2h | No | 30 | 73¢ → 65¢ | $19 | −$3 −12% |
| Will Maura Higgins win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Ends in 159d | No | 21 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $19 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 20 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $19 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 29, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 21 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $19 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?Ends in 2h | No | 21 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.5% |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights record 110+ points?Ends in 188d | No | 30 | 64¢ → 62¢ | $18 | −$1 −3.9% |
| Will Alabama Crimson Tide Win the 2026 SEC Championship?Ends ended | No | 20 | 76¢ → 92¢ | $18 | +$3 +21% |
| Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?Ends in 23d | No | 23 | 86¢ → 80¢ | $18 | −$2 −7.6% |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 23 | 82¢ → 81¢ | $18 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will zekken play for MIBR in 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $18 | +$1 +5.4% |
| Will Lucas Chevalier (PSG) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?Ends in 234d | Yes | 320 | 13¢ → 5¢ | $17 | −$25 −59% |
