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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ChatGPT | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Grok | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Claude | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Llama | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630d |  Skankhunt42. | Gemini | SellYes>99¢ | $2,900 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 630d | ThereIsNoSpoon3 fills | ChatGPT | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,460 | +$19 +0.1% | 4 |
| 630d | Alder | Gemini | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,536 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 630d | Qtyu | ChatGPT | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,244 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 630d | Qtyu | Gemini | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,019 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 630d | Qtyu | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,907 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 630d |  Umkabrother | Gemini | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$19 +1.9% | 5 |
| 630d | RandomJake | Grok | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,941 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 630d | RandomJake | Claude | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,036 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 630d | OPFORintelligence | Gemini | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,004 | +$11 +0.4% | 4 |
| 631d | zadymiarz | ChatGPT | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,187 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 631d |  DoneWithIt | Gemini | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,686 | −$32 −1.9% | — |
| 631d | Monster24 | Gemini | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | +$10 +1.0% | 4 |
| 632d |  tumi | Gemini | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,611 | +$20 +1.2% | 4 |
| 632d | rollothomasi | Gemini | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | +$15 +1.3% | 4 |
| 633d | Skankhunt42. | Gemini | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,170 | +$72 +3.3% | 5 |
| 633d | NightWalk1 | Gemini | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,789 | −$101 −5.7% | — |
| 633d |  77603dad7edbb9a2775c529 | Gemini | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,236 | +$88 +2.7% | 4 |
| 634d |  Office Lover2 fills | Gemini | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,875 | +$730 +25% | 4 |
| 638d | CrashOverride95 | Gemini | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$207 +2.1% | 4 |
| 640d | 025d2 fills | Gemini | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $8,836 | −$1,043 −12% | — |
| 648d |  mochiko | Llama | BuyNo>99¢ | $29,627 | +$30 +0.1% | 4 |
| 654d | NightWalk1 | Gemini | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,720 | +$170 +9.9% | 4 |
| 656d | 025d3 fills | Gemini | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $3,736 | +$1,618 +43% | 4 |
| 656d | Cryp | Gemini | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,227 | +$167 +14% | 4 |
| 656d | Cryptosputnik | Gemini | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$266 +11% | 4 |
| 658d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Gemini | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | +$252 +22% | 4 |
| 659d |  Milktoast | Other | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,750 | +$50 +2.9% | 4 |
| 659d | nonkenny902 fills | Gemini | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $2,754 | +$1,183 +43% | 4 |
| 660d | cigarettes | Claude | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,484 | +$17 +1.1% | 4 |
| 660d | cigarettes | Grok | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,467 | +$33 +2.2% | 4 |
| 660d | cigarettes | Other | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | +$45 +3.1% | 4 |
| 660d | cigarettes | ChatGPT | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$435 +41% | 4 |
| 661d |  d1k21 | Other | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,749 | −$73 −4.2% | — |
| 668d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Other | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,377 | +$74 +3.1% | 4 |
enochsmiles1,000 sharesThis is a negrisk market group over which will be the top AI model on Januar 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Gemini means the market gives it about 100%.